Built for prediction accuracy, not hype.
Formatic AI publishes football predictions you can verify. No marketing spin, no deleted losses, just a model, a logic trail, and a public record.
The model
Formatic is a fitted statistical model, not a language model asked for a tip. Each team carries two ratings, attack and defence over its last ten matches, both adjusted for how strong those opponents actually were. 75 candidate inputs were built and tested. The fit kept those two and dropped the rest.
The ratings give an expected goals figure for each side, shrunk toward the scoring level of the league, and that becomes a probability for every plausible scoreline. Three picks are read straight off that grid on every fixture: match result, a goals line and both teams to score. The likeliest exact score is shown as the model's working, never as a bet. Prices are attached after the pick is chosen, so the market never gets a vote in it. Full detail on the methodology page.
Every pick the engine makes is tracked with its result, wins and losses alike, and the full log is downloadable so you can check any number we publish. If a method stops working, you'll see it in the numbers before we do.
The team
Formatic is a solo-operator project, built and maintained from London. One model, one operator, one public results page. No team of tipsters, no marketing arm, no pretending the losses don't happen.
The honesty pledge
Every pick we publish has its result tracked publicly at /stats. We don't delete losses. We don't sell tips with "100% guaranteed" nonsense. Every pick is free while we prove the engine. Read the pledge.