Built for prediction accuracy, not hype.
Formatic AI publishes football predictions you can verify. No marketing spin, no deleted losses — just a model, a logic trail, and a public record.
The model
Formatic combines a rules-based 1X2 engine with a Poisson goals model. The 1X2 layer scores each match on form, schedule density, home advantage, and bookmaker-implied probability, then flags the side where our number disagrees with the market by a meaningful margin.
The Poisson layer estimates goal expectancy for both teams using attack and defence ratings shrunk toward league averages — that shrinkage step matters, because raw season stats overfit small samples and quietly destroy edges. From that joint distribution we derive over/under and BTTS calls.
The full pipeline has been validated against 6,959 matches across 23 leagues over the 2025/26 season, and every pick is tracked live and publicly. If a method stops working, you'll see it in the numbers before we do.
The team
Formatic is a solo-operator project, built and maintained from London. One model, one operator, one public results page. No team of tipsters, no marketing arm, no pretending the losses don't happen.
The honesty pledge
Every pick we publish has its result tracked publicly at /stats. We don't delete losses. We don't sell tips with "100% guaranteed" nonsense.