Every World Cup 2026 prediction, settled
The Formatic engine ran on all 104 games of the tournament, from the opener on 11 June 2026 to the final on 19 July. Every pick was published before kickoff and settled in public, and all of them are still below. Our live record stands at 61.7% over 175 settled top picks at an average price of 1.68.
Tournament complete
64 of 103 top picks landed, 62.1%
Every pick was published before kickoff and settled in public. Nothing here has been edited or removed since the final.
64 winners from 103 settled top picks
Part of a live record of 61.7% across 175 settled top picks tracked in public on /stats.
How the model picked these matches
The engine that ran through this tournament weighted each team's last five results, goals scored and conceded over the same window, head-to-head history and the market's own implied probabilities, and it was shown the odds before it chose. It has since been replaced. Today's picks come from a fitted statistical model that builds a scoreline probability grid from opponent-adjusted attack and defence ratings, and never sees a price.
How the current engine worksThe full schedule
104 matches. Goals predictions started at matchday 2, once each team had tournament form to model from.
Tue 07 Jul
Mon 06 Jul
Sat 04 Jul
Fri 03 Jul
Thu 02 Jul
Wed 01 Jul
Tue 30 Jun
Mon 29 Jun
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