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    World Cup · kickoff 04:00
    FT 2-0
    Switzerland
    Switzerland
    WWWDL
    final
    2 - 0
    Algeria
    Algeria
    WLWDL
    how the market sees it finishing
    47%
    Switzerland
    29%
    Draw
    24%
    Algeria

    Win probability from the 1X2 prices we logged, bookmaker margin removed.

    We make it 2 - 1

    Our score is the one that fits the goals we expect, so it is not always the biggest percentage above: the single likeliest score is usually a low scoring draw, and even that lands only about 12% of the time. This is the model's working, not a tip. The bets it leads to are below.

    12.00
    X3.20
    24.00

    What we would back

    Powered by Formatic AI
    Match resultWin
    Home Win@ 2.00
    Safer: Switzerland or draw at 1.23
    7/10
    Switzerland's superior form (7.78 vs 5.78) and home advantage in a World Cup knockout scenario give them the edge. Algeria averaging 2.1 GPG away suggests they'll be competitive but Switzerland's 2.0 home GPG and 2-point form advantage tips this.
    GoalsLoss
    Over 2.5 Goals@ 2.14
    8/10
    Both sides averaging 2.0+ GPG and World Cup knockout urgency typically produces goals. Combined 4.1 GPG average strongly supports over 2.5, and the predicted 2-1 scoreline gives 3 total goals.
    Both teams to scoreLoss
    Yes@ 1.90
    7/10
    Algeria's 2.1 GPG away suggests attacking threat even in difficult fixtures. Switzerland concede goals at home (evidenced by GPG data) and knockout football incentivizes both teams to push forward.

    Switzerland

    Form comparison

    Algeria

    4.9
    Form scoreout of 10
    3.6
    Form score: Switzerland 4.9, Algeria 3.6
    1.80
    Goals scoredper game
    1.80
    Goals scored: Switzerland 1.80, Algeria 1.80
    1.20
    Goals concededper game, lower is better
    1.10
    Goals conceded: Switzerland 1.20, Algeria 1.10

    The form score weights every result and every goal by where the opponent sat in the table, so five wins over the bottom of the table score below five over the top.

    2/5Switzerland
    Clean Sheetslast 5 games
    Algeria1/5
    1/5Switzerland
    Failed to Scorelast 5 games
    Algeria2/5
    1.8Switzerland
    Goals For per game
    Algeria1.8
    1.2Switzerland
    Goals Against per game
    Algeria1.1
    0Switzerland
    Win Streakmatches
    Algeria0
    Season averages • Switzerland: 10 matches • Algeria: 10 matches • Refreshed weekly
    Switzerland
    Switzerland
    Mixed4.9/10
    WWWDL
    Over 2.5 goals
    3/5
    BTTS
    3/5
    Clean sheet
    2/5
    Scored in
    4/5
    Algeria
    Algeria
    Mixed3.6/10
    WLWDL
    Over 2.5 goals
    4/5
    BTTS
    2/5
    Clean sheet
    1/5
    Scored in
    3/5
    Last 5 meetings
    1W - 0D - 0L from Switzerland's perspective
    • 03 Jul 2026Switzerland2-0Algeria
    Switzerland
    Switzerland
    Last 5 matches
    • 12 Jul 2026vsArgentina3-1L
    • 07 Jul 2026vsColombia0-0D
    • 03 Jul 2026vsAlgeria2-0W
    • 24 Jun 2026vsCanada2-1W
    • 18 Jun 2026vsBosnia & Herzegovina4-1W
    Algeria
    Algeria
    Last 5 matches
    • 03 Jul 2026vsSwitzerland2-0L
    • 28 Jun 2026vsAustria3-3D
    • 23 Jun 2026vsJordan1-2W
    • 17 Jun 2026vsArgentina3-0L
    • 11 Jun 2026vsBolivia0-4W

    Switzerland vs Algeria: form and season numbers

    Switzerland take a form score of 4.9 out of 10 into this World Cup fixture, against 3.6 for Algeria. Switzerland have 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat in their last 5, while Algeria have 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats in theirs. Across the season Switzerland average 1.8 goals scored and 1.2 conceded per game, Algeria 1.8 and 1.1. Switzerland have kept a clean sheet in 30% of their matches this season, Algeria in 50%. In their last 1 meeting Switzerland have won 1, drawn 0 and lost 0.

    Form, head-to-head and season statistics are free to read. The model's predictions for this fixture are in the cards above.

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