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    World Cup · kickoff 17:00
    FT 2-1
    England
    England
    WWWLW
    final
    2 - 1
    Congo DR
    Congo DR
    LDLWL
    how the market sees it finishing
    75%
    England
    18%
    Draw
    7%
    Congo DR

    Win probability from the 1X2 prices we logged, bookmaker margin removed.

    We make it 3 - 0

    Our score is the one that fits the goals we expect, so it is not always the biggest percentage above: the single likeliest score is usually a low scoring draw, and even that lands only about 12% of the time. This is the model's working, not a tip. The bets it leads to are below.

    11.28
    X5.20
    213.00

    What we would back

    Powered by Formatic AI
    Match resultWin
    Home Win@ 1.28
    Safer: England or draw at 1.03
    8/10
    England dominant with 8.22/10 form vs Congo DR's 4.22/10. England averaging 2.0 GPG against World Cup opposition while Congo DR managing only 1.2 GPG with 5.78-point form deficit.
    GoalsWin
    Over 2.5 Goals@ 1.94
    7/10
    England's 2.0 GPG suggests 2-3 goals minimum against weaker opposition. Congo DR's attacking output (1.2 GPG) indicates they can contribute, though more likely England dominate possession and create multiple chances.
    Both teams to scoreLoss
    No@ 1.44
    7/10
    Congo DR's 4.22/10 form and facing elite opposition suggests limited penetration. England's tournament setup typically features organized defensive structure that restricts underdogs to minimal chances.

    England

    Form comparison

    Congo DR

    7.3
    Form scoreout of 10
    3.1
    Form score: England 7.3, Congo DR 3.1
    2.40
    Goals scoredper game
    1.20
    Goals scored: England 2.40, Congo DR 1.20
    1.20
    Goals concededper game, lower is better
    0.80
    Goals conceded: England 1.20, Congo DR 0.80

    The form score weights every result and every goal by where the opponent sat in the table, so five wins over the bottom of the table score below five over the top.

    0/5England
    Clean Sheetslast 5 games
    Congo DR0/5
    0/5England
    Failed to Scorelast 5 games
    Congo DR1/5
    2.4England
    Goals For per game
    Congo DR1.2
    1.2England
    Goals Against per game
    Congo DR0.8
    1England
    Win Streakmatches
    Congo DR0
    Season averages • England: 10 matches • Congo DR: 10 matches • Refreshed weekly
    England
    England
    Solid7.3/10
    WWWLW
    Over 2.5 goals
    5/5
    BTTS
    5/5
    Clean sheet
    0/5
    Scored in
    5/5
    Congo DR
    Congo DR
    Mixed3.1/10
    LDLWL
    Over 2.5 goals
    3/5
    BTTS
    4/5
    Clean sheet
    0/5
    Scored in
    4/5
    Last 5 meetings
    1W - 0D - 0L from England's perspective
    • 01 Jul 2026England2-1Congo DR
    England
    England
    Last 5 matches
    • 18 Jul 2026vsFrance4-6W
    • 15 Jul 2026vsArgentina1-2L
    • 11 Jul 2026vsNorway1-2W
    • 06 Jul 2026vsMexico2-3W
    • 01 Jul 2026vsCongo DR2-1W
    Congo DR
    Congo DR
    Last 5 matches
    • 01 Jul 2026vsEngland2-1L
    • 27 Jun 2026vsUzbekistan3-1W
    • 24 Jun 2026vsColombia1-0L
    • 17 Jun 2026vsPortugal1-1D
    • 09 Jun 2026vsChile1-2L

    England vs Congo DR: form and season numbers

    England take a form score of 7.3 out of 10 into this World Cup fixture, against 3.1 for Congo DR. England have 4 wins and 1 defeat in their last 5, while Congo DR have 1 win, 1 draw and 3 defeats in theirs. Across the season England average 2.4 goals scored and 1.2 conceded per game, Congo DR 1.2 and 0.8. England have kept a clean sheet in 40% of their matches this season, Congo DR in 40%. In their last 1 meeting England have won 1, drawn 0 and lost 0.

    Form, head-to-head and season statistics are free to read. The model's predictions for this fixture are in the cards above.

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