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    World Cup · kickoff 23:00
    FT 1-1
    Argentina
    Argentina
    WWWWL
    final
    1 - 1
    Cape Verde Islands
    Cape Verde Islands
    WDDDL
    how the market sees it finishing
    83%
    Argentina
    12%
    Draw
    5%
    Cape Verde Islands

    Win probability from the 1X2 prices we logged, bookmaker margin removed.

    We make it 3 - 0

    Our score is the one that fits the goals we expect, so it is not always the biggest percentage above: the single likeliest score is usually a low scoring draw, and even that lands only about 12% of the time. This is the model's working, not a tip. The bets it leads to are below.

    11.14
    X8.00
    221.00

    What we would back

    Powered by Formatic AI
    Match resultLoss
    Home Win@ 1.14
    9/10
    Argentina in perfect 10/10 form averaging 2.75 GPG scored vs Cape Verde's 4.67/10 form and 1.5 GPG. World Cup knockout stage, Argentina's quality and tournament experience creates a massive gulf.
    GoalsLoss
    Over 2.5 Goals@ 1.61
    8/10
    Argentina's 2.75 GPG at home points to 3+ goals even if Cape Verde (1.5 GPG) fails to contribute. World Cup intensity favours the attacking favourite.
    Both teams to scoreLoss
    No@ 1.38
    7/10
    Cape Verde's 4.67/10 form and 1.5 GPG suggest limited threat against Argentina's elite defensive organization in a World Cup knockout match.

    Argentina

    Form comparison

    Cape Verde Islands

    6.7
    Form scoreout of 10
    2.7
    Form score: Argentina 6.7, Cape Verde Islands 2.7
    2.40
    Goals scoredper game
    1.40
    Goals scored: Argentina 2.40, Cape Verde Islands 1.40
    0.80
    Goals concededper game, lower is better
    1.10
    Goals conceded: Argentina 0.80, Cape Verde Islands 1.10

    The form score weights every result and every goal by where the opponent sat in the table, so five wins over the bottom of the table score below five over the top.

    0/5Argentina
    Clean Sheetslast 5 games
    Cape Verde Islands3/5
    1/5Argentina
    Failed to Scorelast 5 games
    Cape Verde Islands2/5
    2.4Argentina
    Goals For per game
    Cape Verde Islands1.4
    0.8Argentina
    Goals Against per game
    Cape Verde Islands1.1
    0Argentina
    Win Streakmatches
    Cape Verde Islands0
    Season averages • Argentina: 10 matches • Cape Verde Islands: 10 matches • Refreshed weekly
    Argentina
    Argentina
    Solid6.7/10
    WWWWL
    Over 2.5 goals
    4/5
    BTTS
    4/5
    Clean sheet
    0/5
    Scored in
    4/5
    Cape Verde Islands
    Cape Verde Islands
    Poor2.7/10
    WDDDL
    Over 2.5 goals
    3/5
    BTTS
    2/5
    Clean sheet
    3/5
    Scored in
    3/5
    Last 5 meetings
    1W - 0D - 0L from Argentina's perspective
    • 03 Jul 2026Argentina3-2Cape Verde Islands
    Argentina
    Argentina
    Last 5 matches
    • 19 Jul 2026vsSpain1-0L
    • 15 Jul 2026vsEngland1-2W
    • 12 Jul 2026vsSwitzerland3-1W
    • 07 Jul 2026vsEgypt3-2W
    • 03 Jul 2026vsCape Verde Islands3-2W
    Cape Verde Islands
    Cape Verde Islands
    Last 5 matches
    • 03 Jul 2026vsArgentina3-2L
    • 27 Jun 2026vsSaudi Arabia0-0D
    • 21 Jun 2026vsUruguay2-2D
    • 15 Jun 2026vsSpain0-0D
    • 06 Jun 2026vsBermuda3-0W

    Argentina vs Cape Verde Islands: form and season numbers

    Argentina take a form score of 6.7 out of 10 into this World Cup fixture, against 2.7 for Cape Verde Islands. Argentina have 4 wins and 1 defeat in their last 5, while Cape Verde Islands have 1 win, 3 draws and 1 defeat in theirs. Across the season Argentina average 2.4 goals scored and 0.8 conceded per game, Cape Verde Islands 1.4 and 1.1. Argentina have kept a clean sheet in 40% of their matches this season, Cape Verde Islands in 50%. In their last 1 meeting Argentina have won 1, drawn 0 and lost 0.

    Form, head-to-head and season statistics are free to read. The model's predictions for this fixture are in the cards above.

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