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    World Cup · kickoff 22:00
    FT 0-1
    Paraguay
    Paraguay
    LWDDL
    final
    0 - 1
    France
    France
    WWWLL
    how the market sees it finishing
    6%
    Paraguay
    14%
    Draw
    80%
    France

    Win probability from the 1X2 prices we logged, bookmaker margin removed.

    We make it 0 - 2

    Our score is the one that fits the goals we expect, so it is not always the biggest percentage above: the single likeliest score is usually a low scoring draw, and even that lands only about 12% of the time. This is the model's working, not a tip. The bets it leads to are below.

    117.00
    X7.00
    21.18

    What we would back

    Powered by Formatic AI
    Match resultWin
    Away Win@ 1.18
    Safer: France or draw at 1.01
    9/10
    France in peak form (10/10) averaging 2.9 GPG while Paraguay struggle at 4.67/10 form scoring just 1.2 GPG. World Cup knockout stage, France's superior quality and tournament experience should dominate.
    GoalsLoss
    Over 1.5 Goals@ 1.18
    9/10
    France averaging 2.9 GPG and Paraguay conceding heavily against elite opposition. Even if Paraguay park the bus, France's firepower (2.9 GPG) makes 2+ goals highly probable.
    Both teams to scoreWin
    No@ 1.50
    7/10
    Paraguay's 1.2 GPG and 4.67/10 form suggests limited attacking threat against France's World Cup-caliber defense. France likely keeps a clean sheet in a controlled knockout performance.

    Paraguay

    Form comparison

    France

    2.9
    Form scoreout of 10
    4.0
    Form score: Paraguay 2.9, France 4.0
    1.20
    Goals scoredper game
    2.40
    Goals scored: Paraguay 1.20, France 2.40
    1.10
    Goals concededper game, lower is better
    1.30
    Goals conceded: Paraguay 1.10, France 1.30

    The form score weights every result and every goal by where the opponent sat in the table, so five wins over the bottom of the table score below five over the top.

    2/5Paraguay
    Clean Sheetslast 5 games
    France3/5
    2/5Paraguay
    Failed to Scorelast 5 games
    France1/5
    1.2Paraguay
    Goals For per game
    France2.4
    1.1Paraguay
    Goals Against per game
    France1.3
    0Paraguay
    Win Streakmatches
    France0
    Season averages • Paraguay: 10 matches • France: 10 matches • Refreshed weekly
    Paraguay
    Paraguay
    Poor2.9/10
    LWDDL
    Over 2.5 goals
    1/5
    BTTS
    2/5
    Clean sheet
    2/5
    Scored in
    3/5
    France
    France
    Mixed4.0/10
    WWWLL
    Over 2.5 goals
    2/5
    BTTS
    1/5
    Clean sheet
    3/5
    Scored in
    4/5
    Last 5 meetings
    0W - 0D - 2L from Paraguay's perspective
    • 04 Jul 2026Paraguay0-1France
    • 02 Jun 2017France5-0Paraguay
    Paraguay
    Paraguay
    Last 5 matches
    • 04 Jul 2026vsFrance0-1L
    • 29 Jun 2026vsGermany1-1D
    • 26 Jun 2026vsAustralia0-0D
    • 20 Jun 2026vsTürkiye0-1W
    • 13 Jun 2026vsUSA4-1L
    France
    France
    Last 5 matches
    • 18 Jul 2026vsEngland4-6L
    • 14 Jul 2026vsSpain0-2L
    • 09 Jul 2026vsMorocco2-0W
    • 04 Jul 2026vsParaguay0-1W
    • 30 Jun 2026vsSweden3-0W

    Paraguay vs France: form and season numbers

    Paraguay take a form score of 2.9 out of 10 into this World Cup fixture, against 4.0 for France. Paraguay have 1 win, 2 draws and 2 defeats in their last 5, while France have 3 wins and 2 defeats in theirs. Across the season Paraguay average 1.2 goals scored and 1.1 conceded per game, France 2.4 and 1.3. Paraguay have kept a clean sheet in 40% of their matches this season, France in 40%. In their last 2 meetings Paraguay have won 0, drawn 0 and lost 2.

    Form, head-to-head and season statistics are free to read. The model's predictions for this fixture are in the cards above.

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