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    World Cup · kickoff 17:00
    FT 3-2
    Argentina
    Argentina
    WWWWL
    final
    3 - 2
    Egypt
    Egypt
    DWDDL
    how the market sees it finishing
    71%
    Argentina
    19%
    Draw
    10%
    Egypt

    Win probability from the 1X2 prices we logged, bookmaker margin removed.

    We make it 3 - 0

    Our score is the one that fits the goals we expect, so it is not always the biggest percentage above: the single likeliest score is usually a low scoring draw, and even that lands only about 12% of the time. This is the model's working, not a tip. The bets it leads to are below.

    11.33
    X5.00
    210.00

    What we would back

    Powered by Formatic AI
    Match resultWin
    Home Win@ 1.33
    Safer: Argentina or draw at 1.05
    9/10
    Argentina in perfect 10/10 form averaging 2.88 GPG scored. Egypt badly out of form at 4.44/10 with only 1.2 GPG. Argentina's World Cup pedigree and form advantage (5.56 points) make this a clear home win.
    GoalsWin
    Over 2.5 Goals@ 1.93
    8/10
    Argentina's 2.88 GPG at home points to multiple goals. Egypt's defensive struggles (conceding regularly given poor 4.44 form) mean Argentina should comfortably exceed 2.5 goals threshold.
    Both teams to scoreLoss
    No@ 1.55
    7/10
    Egypt's poor 4.44 form and low 1.2 GPG away suggest limited attacking threat against Argentina's tight World Cup defense. Clean sheet likely given the quality gap.

    Argentina

    Form comparison

    Egypt

    6.7
    Form scoreout of 10
    3.1
    Form score: Argentina 6.7, Egypt 3.1
    2.40
    Goals scoredper game
    1.40
    Goals scored: Argentina 2.40, Egypt 1.40
    0.80
    Goals concededper game, lower is better
    0.90
    Goals conceded: Argentina 0.80, Egypt 0.90

    The form score weights every result and every goal by where the opponent sat in the table, so five wins over the bottom of the table score below five over the top.

    0/5Argentina
    Clean Sheetslast 5 games
    Egypt0/5
    1/5Argentina
    Failed to Scorelast 5 games
    Egypt0/5
    2.4Argentina
    Goals For per game
    Egypt1.4
    0.8Argentina
    Goals Against per game
    Egypt0.9
    0Argentina
    Win Streakmatches
    Egypt0
    Season averages • Argentina: 10 matches • Egypt: 10 matches • Refreshed weekly
    Argentina
    Argentina
    Solid6.7/10
    WWWWL
    Over 2.5 goals
    4/5
    BTTS
    4/5
    Clean sheet
    0/5
    Scored in
    4/5
    Egypt
    Egypt
    Mixed3.1/10
    DWDDL
    Over 2.5 goals
    2/5
    BTTS
    5/5
    Clean sheet
    0/5
    Scored in
    5/5
    Last 5 meetings
    1W - 0D - 0L from Argentina's perspective
    • 07 Jul 2026Argentina3-2Egypt
    Argentina
    Argentina
    Last 5 matches
    • 19 Jul 2026vsSpain1-0L
    • 15 Jul 2026vsEngland1-2W
    • 12 Jul 2026vsSwitzerland3-1W
    • 07 Jul 2026vsEgypt3-2W
    • 03 Jul 2026vsCape Verde Islands3-2W
    Egypt
    Egypt
    Last 5 matches
    • 07 Jul 2026vsArgentina3-2L
    • 03 Jul 2026vsAustralia1-1D
    • 27 Jun 2026vsIran1-1D
    • 22 Jun 2026vsNew Zealand1-3W
    • 15 Jun 2026vsBelgium1-1D

    Argentina vs Egypt: form and season numbers

    Argentina take a form score of 6.7 out of 10 into this World Cup fixture, against 3.1 for Egypt. Argentina have 4 wins and 1 defeat in their last 5, while Egypt have 1 win, 3 draws and 1 defeat in theirs. Across the season Argentina average 2.4 goals scored and 0.8 conceded per game, Egypt 1.4 and 0.9. Argentina have kept a clean sheet in 40% of their matches this season, Egypt in 40%. In their last 1 meeting Argentina have won 1, drawn 0 and lost 0.

    Form, head-to-head and season statistics are free to read. The model's predictions for this fixture are in the cards above.

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