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    World Cup · kickoff 01:00
    FT 2-0
    USA
    USA
    WWLWL
    final
    2 - 0
    Bosnia & Herzegovina
    Bosnia & Herzegovina
    DDLWL
    how the market sees it finishing
    69%
    USA
    20%
    Draw
    11%
    Bosnia & Herzegovina

    Win probability from the 1X2 prices we logged, bookmaker margin removed.

    We make it 2 - 0

    Our score is the one that fits the goals we expect, so it is not always the biggest percentage above: the single likeliest score is usually a low scoring draw, and even that lands only about 12% of the time. This is the model's working, not a tip. The bets it leads to are below.

    11.36
    X4.80
    28.50

    What we would back

    Powered by Formatic AI
    Match resultWin
    Home Win@ 1.36
    Safer: USA or draw at 1.06
    7/10
    USA heavy favourites at home with superior form (5.33 vs 4.67) and significantly higher attacking output (2.3 GPG vs 1.6 GPG). World Cup host advantage and quality gap support home win.
    GoalsWin
    Under 3.5 Goals@ 1.36
    7/10
    USA typically control games at 2.3 GPG while Bosnia struggle for goals away (1.6 GPG). Predicted 2-goal margin suggests comfortable home win without fireworks.
    Both teams to scoreWin
    No@ 1.73
    6/10
    Bosnia's limited attacking output (1.6 GPG) and weaker form (4.67/10) suggest they'll struggle to find the net against a defensively organized USA side on home soil.

    USA

    Form comparison

    Bosnia & Herzegovina

    4.7
    Form scoreout of 10
    3.3
    Form score: USA 4.7, Bosnia & Herzegovina 3.3
    2.20
    Goals scoredper game
    1.20
    Goals scored: USA 2.20, Bosnia & Herzegovina 1.20
    2.00
    Goals concededper game, lower is better
    1.30
    Goals conceded: USA 2.00, Bosnia & Herzegovina 1.30

    The form score weights every result and every goal by where the opponent sat in the table, so five wins over the bottom of the table score below five over the top.

    2/5USA
    Clean Sheetslast 5 games
    Bosnia & Herzegovina0/5
    0/5USA
    Failed to Scorelast 5 games
    Bosnia & Herzegovina1/5
    2.2USA
    Goals For per game
    Bosnia & Herzegovina1.2
    2.0USA
    Goals Against per game
    Bosnia & Herzegovina1.3
    0USA
    Win Streakmatches
    Bosnia & Herzegovina0
    Season averages • USA: 10 matches • Bosnia & Herzegovina: 10 matches • Refreshed weekly
    USA
    USA
    Mixed4.7/10
    WWLWL
    Over 2.5 goals
    3/5
    BTTS
    3/5
    Clean sheet
    2/5
    Scored in
    5/5
    Bosnia & Herzegovina
    Bosnia & Herzegovina
    Mixed3.3/10
    DDLWL
    Over 2.5 goals
    2/5
    BTTS
    4/5
    Clean sheet
    0/5
    Scored in
    4/5
    Last 5 meetings
    2W - 1D - 0L from USA's perspective
    • 02 Jul 2026USA2-0Bosnia & Herzegovina
    • 19 Dec 2021USA1-0Bosnia & Herzegovina
    • 29 Jan 2018USA0-0Bosnia & Herzegovina
    USA
    USA
    Last 5 matches
    • 07 Jul 2026vsBelgium1-4L
    • 02 Jul 2026vsBosnia & Herzegovina2-0W
    • 26 Jun 2026vsTürkiye3-2L
    • 19 Jun 2026vsAustralia2-0W
    • 13 Jun 2026vsParaguay4-1W
    Bosnia & Herzegovina
    Bosnia & Herzegovina
    Last 5 matches
    • 02 Jul 2026vsUSA2-0L
    • 24 Jun 2026vsQatar3-1W
    • 18 Jun 2026vsSwitzerland4-1L
    • 12 Jun 2026vsCanada1-1D
    • 06 Jun 2026vsPanama1-1D

    USA vs Bosnia & Herzegovina: form and season numbers

    USA take a form score of 4.7 out of 10 into this World Cup fixture, against 3.3 for Bosnia & Herzegovina. USA have 3 wins and 2 defeats in their last 5, while Bosnia & Herzegovina have 1 win, 2 draws and 2 defeats in theirs. Across the season USA average 2.2 goals scored and 2.0 conceded per game, Bosnia & Herzegovina 1.2 and 1.3. USA have kept a clean sheet in 20% of their matches this season, Bosnia & Herzegovina in 10%. In their last 3 meetings USA have won 2, drawn 1 and lost 0.

    Form, head-to-head and season statistics are free to read. The model's predictions for this fixture are in the cards above.

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