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    World Cup · kickoff 21:00
    FT 2-0
    France
    France
    WWWLL
    final
    2 - 0
    Morocco
    Morocco
    WWDWL
    how the market sees it finishing
    60%
    France
    25%
    Draw
    15%
    Morocco

    Win probability from the 1X2 prices we logged, bookmaker margin removed.

    We make it 2 - 1

    Our score is the one that fits the goals we expect, so it is not always the biggest percentage above: the single likeliest score is usually a low scoring draw, and even that lands only about 12% of the time. This is the model's working, not a tip. The bets it leads to are below.

    11.57
    X3.85
    26.50

    What we would back

    Powered by Formatic AI
    Match resultWin
    Home Win@ 1.57
    Safer: France or draw at 1.12
    8/10
    France in perfect 10/10 form averaging 2.6 GPG. Morocco solid at 7.78/10 form but facing a World Cup semi-final level opponent. France's attacking output and tournament momentum favor a home victory.
    GoalsLoss
    Over 2.5 Goals@ 1.96
    7/10
    Combined GPG of 4.9 (France 2.6, Morocco 2.3) suggests high-scoring affair. Both teams have demonstrated attacking intent throughout the tournament with consistent goal production.
    Both teams to scoreLoss
    Yes@ 1.98
    Morocco averaging 2.3 GPG shows genuine attacking threat. France's perfect form doesn't indicate defensive invincibility, and Morocco's quality warrants backing them to find the net at 2.0 odds.

    France

    Form comparison

    Morocco

    4.0
    Form scoreout of 10
    5.3
    Form score: France 4.0, Morocco 5.3
    2.40
    Goals scoredper game
    2.20
    Goals scored: France 2.40, Morocco 2.20
    1.30
    Goals concededper game, lower is better
    0.80
    Goals conceded: France 1.30, Morocco 0.80

    The form score weights every result and every goal by where the opponent sat in the table, so five wins over the bottom of the table score below five over the top.

    3/5France
    Clean Sheetslast 5 games
    Morocco2/5
    1/5France
    Failed to Scorelast 5 games
    Morocco1/5
    2.4France
    Goals For per game
    Morocco2.2
    1.3France
    Goals Against per game
    Morocco0.8
    0France
    Win Streakmatches
    Morocco0
    Season averages • France: 10 matches • Morocco: 10 matches • Refreshed weekly
    France
    France
    Mixed4.0/10
    WWWLL
    Over 2.5 goals
    2/5
    BTTS
    1/5
    Clean sheet
    3/5
    Scored in
    4/5
    Morocco
    Morocco
    Solid5.3/10
    WWDWL
    Over 2.5 goals
    2/5
    BTTS
    2/5
    Clean sheet
    2/5
    Scored in
    4/5
    Last 5 meetings
    2W - 0D - 0L from France's perspective
    • 09 Jul 2026France2-0Morocco
    • 14 Dec 2022France2-0Morocco
    France
    France
    Last 5 matches
    • 18 Jul 2026vsEngland4-6L
    • 14 Jul 2026vsSpain0-2L
    • 09 Jul 2026vsMorocco2-0W
    • 04 Jul 2026vsParaguay0-1W
    • 30 Jun 2026vsSweden3-0W
    Morocco
    Morocco
    Last 5 matches
    • 09 Jul 2026vsFrance2-0L
    • 04 Jul 2026vsCanada0-3W
    • 30 Jun 2026vsNetherlands1-1D
    • 24 Jun 2026vsHaiti4-2W
    • 19 Jun 2026vsScotland0-1W

    France vs Morocco: form and season numbers

    France take a form score of 4.0 out of 10 into this World Cup fixture, against 5.3 for Morocco. France have 3 wins and 2 defeats in their last 5, while Morocco have 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat in theirs. Across the season France average 2.4 goals scored and 1.3 conceded per game, Morocco 2.2 and 0.8. France have kept a clean sheet in 40% of their matches this season, Morocco in 40%. In their last 2 meetings France have won 2, drawn 0 and lost 0.

    Form, head-to-head and season statistics are free to read. The model's predictions for this fixture are in the cards above.

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