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    World Cup · kickoff 02:00
    FT 1-1
    Argentina
    Argentina
    WWWWL
    final
    1 - 1
    Switzerland
    Switzerland
    WWWDL
    how the market sees it finishing
    56%
    Argentina
    27%
    Draw
    17%
    Switzerland

    Win probability from the 1X2 prices we logged, bookmaker margin removed.

    We make it 2 - 1

    Our score is the one that fits the goals we expect, so it is not always the biggest percentage above: the single likeliest score is usually a low scoring draw, and even that lands only about 12% of the time. This is the model's working, not a tip. The bets it leads to are below.

    11.67
    X3.50
    25.50

    What we would back

    Powered by Formatic AI
    Match resultLoss
    Home Win@ 1.67
    Safer: Argentina or draw at 1.13
    8/10
    Argentina in perfect 10/10 form averaging 2.89 GPG while Switzerland's 7.33/10 form and 1.8 GPG on neutral ground suggests defensive solidity but insufficient firepower against elite opposition.
    GoalsLoss
    Over 2.5 Goals@ 2.23
    7/10
    Argentina's 2.89 GPG and Switzerland's tendency to concede against top sides points to 3+ goals. World Cup knockout intensity typically produces goals at this stage.
    Both teams to scoreWin
    Yes@ 2.10
    6/10
    Switzerland's 1.8 GPG shows they can score even in difficult matches. Argentina have shown occasional defensive lapses despite their form, and knockout tension creates chances both ways.

    Argentina

    Form comparison

    Switzerland

    6.7
    Form scoreout of 10
    4.9
    Form score: Argentina 6.7, Switzerland 4.9
    2.40
    Goals scoredper game
    1.80
    Goals scored: Argentina 2.40, Switzerland 1.80
    0.80
    Goals concededper game, lower is better
    1.20
    Goals conceded: Argentina 0.80, Switzerland 1.20

    The form score weights every result and every goal by where the opponent sat in the table, so five wins over the bottom of the table score below five over the top.

    0/5Argentina
    Clean Sheetslast 5 games
    Switzerland2/5
    1/5Argentina
    Failed to Scorelast 5 games
    Switzerland1/5
    2.4Argentina
    Goals For per game
    Switzerland1.8
    0.8Argentina
    Goals Against per game
    Switzerland1.2
    0Argentina
    Win Streakmatches
    Switzerland0
    Season averages • Argentina: 10 matches • Switzerland: 10 matches • Refreshed weekly
    Argentina
    Argentina
    Solid6.7/10
    WWWWL
    Over 2.5 goals
    4/5
    BTTS
    4/5
    Clean sheet
    0/5
    Scored in
    4/5
    Switzerland
    Switzerland
    Mixed4.9/10
    WWWDL
    Over 2.5 goals
    3/5
    BTTS
    3/5
    Clean sheet
    2/5
    Scored in
    4/5
    Last 5 meetings
    2W - 0D - 0L from Argentina's perspective
    • 12 Jul 2026Argentina3-1Switzerland
    • 01 Jul 2014Argentina1-0Switzerland
    Argentina
    Argentina
    Last 5 matches
    • 19 Jul 2026vsSpain1-0L
    • 15 Jul 2026vsEngland1-2W
    • 12 Jul 2026vsSwitzerland3-1W
    • 07 Jul 2026vsEgypt3-2W
    • 03 Jul 2026vsCape Verde Islands3-2W
    Switzerland
    Switzerland
    Last 5 matches
    • 12 Jul 2026vsArgentina3-1L
    • 07 Jul 2026vsColombia0-0D
    • 03 Jul 2026vsAlgeria2-0W
    • 24 Jun 2026vsCanada2-1W
    • 18 Jun 2026vsBosnia & Herzegovina4-1W

    Argentina vs Switzerland: form and season numbers

    Argentina take a form score of 6.7 out of 10 into this World Cup fixture, against 4.9 for Switzerland. Argentina have 4 wins and 1 defeat in their last 5, while Switzerland have 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat in theirs. Across the season Argentina average 2.4 goals scored and 0.8 conceded per game, Switzerland 1.8 and 1.2. Argentina have kept a clean sheet in 40% of their matches this season, Switzerland in 30%. In their last 2 meetings Argentina have won 2, drawn 0 and lost 0.

    Form, head-to-head and season statistics are free to read. The model's predictions for this fixture are in the cards above.

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