Correct Score Predictions Today
Correct score is the hardest market in football betting — a typical hit rate of 10–15% is considered sharp, even for the best models in the world. We don't claim to consistently beat it. What we do is publish the model's single most likely predicted scoreline for every match, because that score is the anchor for every other pick: if the model predicts 2-1, the goals market pick, the BTTS pick, and the match result pick must all be consistent with that scoreline. A wrong final score that still wins on Over 2.5 and BTTS is a correct model call. The score is the narrative, not just a market. Hit rate across 2025/26 is 11.3%.
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Frequently asked
- What's the Correct Score hit rate?
- 11.3% across the 2025/26 season — close to the theoretical limit for any prediction model.
- Why publish predictions if hit rate is so low?
- Because the score is the anchor for every other market. A 2-1 prediction with a wrong final score (e.g. 2-2) often still wins on BTTS, Over 2.5, and DC. The score is the model's narrative, not just a market.
- Should I bet correct score?
- Only sparingly. Average odds are 9.00+, so EV requires hitting at ~11%. The model's hit rate is exactly there. Better used as a confirming signal, not a primary market.