

Our model scores this match once both teams have enough recent form to work from, predictions publish in the days before kickoff. Form, head-to-head and season stats are available in the tabs above now.
How this scoreline is calculated
Where those opponents sat in the table: strong means they averaged roughly the top 40%, weak roughly the bottom 40%, mixed in between.
Opposition faced: Ajax mixed, AZ Alkmaar weakThe form score weights every result and every goal by where the opponent sat in the table, so five wins over the bottom of the table score below five over the top.




Ajax take a form score of 7.9 out of 10 into this Eredivisie fixture, against 8.3 for AZ Alkmaar. Ajax have 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat in their last 5, while AZ Alkmaar have 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat in theirs. Across the season Ajax average 3.2 goals scored and 1.6 conceded per game, AZ Alkmaar 2.5 and 0.9. Ajax have kept a clean sheet in 20% of their matches this season, AZ Alkmaar in 40%. In their last 10 meetings Ajax have won 0, drawn 3 and lost 7. Ajax sit 5th on 14 points, AZ Alkmaar 1st on 19.
Form, head-to-head and season statistics are free to read. The model's predictions for this fixture are in the cards above.
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