Albacete welcome Real Sociedad B on the back of a pre-season that has seen them collect 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss across their last 5 outings, a run that delivered 7 goals scored and 4 conceded. That 6.22 out of 10 form rating is classed as steady and represents a 2-point advantage over visitors whose patchy 4.22 mark reflects 1 win, 2 draws and 2 defeats from the same sample. The hosts secured their most recent victory with a 2-1 friendly win at home to Al Kholood on 21 July before grinding out a 0-0 draw away to Leganes four days earlier. Those friendlies followed competitive action that closed the previous Segunda División campaign with a 2-1 victory at Cordoba on 15 May and a 3-1 home win over these same opponents on 24 May, either side of a 0-1 reverse at AD Ceuta FC on 30 May. Real Sociedad B's summer began with a 4-0 friendly thrashing of PAU at home on 25 July but ended the competitive season on uncertain ground, falling 1-3 at Albacete before drawing 1-1 at home to Cultural Leonesa on 30 May and sharing the points 2-2 with Mirandes on 16 May. Their 0-2 friendly loss away to Burgos on 18 July underlined the inconsistency that has defined their recent run.

The goals profile offers further context to the form gap. Albacete have found the net in 3 of their last 5 and kept a clean sheet once, while Real Sociedad B have scored in 4 of 5 but managed just one shut-out. That 8 goals scored and 8 conceded ledger for the visitors points to defensive fragility that Albacete exploited comprehensively when the sides last met in May. The attacking threat remains present in Real Sociedad B's game, evidenced by the 4-goal friendly haul and the fact they have contributed goals in all but one of their recent fixtures, yet the 8 conceded across the same stretch suggests they arrive vulnerable at the back. Albacete's tighter defensive record, shipping 4 in 5, hints at greater structural solidity even if their own clean sheet count remains modest at 1 from 5.

The head to head record over the last 2 meetings favours the hosts emphatically. Albacete have won 1 and drawn 1, leaving Real Sociedad B without a victory in either encounter. The 3-1 win on 24 May represents the most emphatic statement from that pair, while the 0-0 draw on 10 January showed Albacete's capacity to frustrate the visitors even in a scoreless affair. Across those 2 fixtures, an average of 2.0 goals per meeting has been recorded, with both teams scoring in 1 of 2 and over 2.5 goals landing in 1 of 2. That modest goals average suggests these meetings have been tighter than the May scoreline alone might imply, though Albacete have not conceded more than once in either contest.

The superior form, the defensive edge and the psychological weight of recent dominance all stack in Albacete's favour as the new Segunda División season opens. Real Sociedad B arrive with attacking intent but little defensive coherence, and their inability to impose themselves in the previous two fixtures leaves them chasing credibility rather than points. Formatic's model will price this fixture closer to kick-off, but the numbers already on the table suggest the value sits firmly with the hosts, who carry every statistical marker of a side prepared to extend their head to head advantage into a third consecutive meeting.