

Our model scores this match once both teams have enough recent form to work from, predictions publish in the days before kickoff. Form, head-to-head and season stats are available in the tabs above now.
How this scoreline is calculated
Where those opponents sat in the table: strong means they averaged roughly the top 40%, weak roughly the bottom 40%, mixed in between.
Opposition faced: Alverca strong, Arouca mixedThe form score weights every result and every goal by where the opponent sat in the table, so five wins over the bottom of the table score below five over the top.




Alverca take a form score of 4.5 out of 10 into this Primeira Liga fixture, against 5.5 for Arouca. Alverca have 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats in their last 5, while Arouca have 1 win, 2 draws and 2 defeats in theirs. Across the season Alverca average 1.1 goals scored and 1.3 conceded per game, Arouca 1.2 and 1.0. Alverca have kept a clean sheet in 22% of their matches this season, Arouca in 50%. In their last 2 meetings Alverca have won 1, drawn 0 and lost 1. Alverca sit 10th on 8 points, Arouca 5th on 11.
Form, head-to-head and season statistics are free to read. The model's predictions for this fixture are in the cards above.
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