

Our model scores this match once both teams have enough recent form to work from, predictions publish in the days before kickoff. Form, head-to-head and season stats are available in the tabs above now.
The form score weights every result and every goal by where the opponent sat in the table, so five wins over the bottom of the table score below five over the top.




Angers take a form score of 4.1 out of 10 into this Ligue 1 fixture, against 6.9 for Lille. Angers have 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeat in their last 5, while Lille have 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats in theirs. Across the season Angers average 1.1 goals scored and 1.8 conceded per game, Lille 1.6 and 0.6. Angers have kept a clean sheet in 10% of their matches this season, Lille in 60%. In their last 10 meetings Angers have won 2, drawn 2 and lost 6. Angers sit 2nd on 0 points, Lille 8th on 0.
Form, head-to-head and season statistics are free to read. The model's predictions for this fixture are in the cards above.
Angers welcome Lille to a fixture in which recent momentum sits firmly with the home side. Formatic's weighted form score awards Angers 7.11 out of 10 across their last five outings, a strong rating built on two wins, two draws and one defeat. Lille arrive rated at 4.22 out of 10, a patchy return from two wins, one draw and two losses over the same sample. That 2.89-point gap in Angers' favour represents a meaningful edge heading into Sunday's contest.
The hosts have posted eight goals across those five matches while conceding seven, scoring in all five without managing a clean sheet. Their competitive Ligue 1 record in that stretch featured a 1-1 draw at home to Strasbourg and a 1-1 draw away to Stade Brestois 29, either side of a 1-3 defeat at Auxerre. Pre-season friendlies added a 3-1 win at home to Les Herbiers and a 2-1 victory over Creteil, also at home. That run suggests attacking threat without defensive solidity, a profile that has kept Angers in every recent fixture but left them vulnerable when the game opens up.
Lille's numbers tell a different story. Six goals scored and five conceded across five matches, with scoring recorded in four of the five and clean sheets in two. Their competitive Ligue 1 fixtures included a 0-2 home defeat to Auxerre and a 1-0 win away to Monaco, followed by a 1-1 home draw with Le Havre. Pre-season brought a 3-0 home win over RAAL La Louvière before a 1-2 loss away to Union St. Gilloise. The clean sheets point to defensive resilience when things click, but the losses show fragility, particularly the home defeat to Auxerre which underscores inconsistency at the back end of the previous campaign.
The head to head record across the last 10 meetings favours Lille with 6 wins to Angers' 2, plus 2 draws. An average of 1.8 goals per meeting and both teams scoring in 4 of 10 fixtures reflects tight, low-scoring encounters. Of the five most recent clashes, Lille have won all five, including a 1-0 win at Angers in February 2026, a 1-0 win at home in November 2025, a 2-0 win at Angers in April 2025 and a 2-0 home victory in August 2024. Angers' sole itemised win came in April 2023, a 1-0 triumph. Over 2.5 goals landed in just 2 of 10 meetings, underlining the cagey nature of this fixture historically.
The form contrast is impossible to ignore. Angers bring stronger recent rhythm, while Lille's patchy 4.22 score reflects a side not yet firing consistently. The head to head pattern points to tight margins and Lille dominance, yet that dominance was forged across a longer timeframe. With Angers scoring in every one of their last five and Lille conceding in three of their last five, the hosts' attacking continuity could test visitors still finding their shape. The 1.8-goal average and low both-teams-scoring rate suggest caution, but Angers' failure to keep a clean sheet in five opens a route for Lille if they travel sharper than the 4.22 rating implies. The gap between these form scores frames the contest: whether Lille's historical edge or Angers' current momentum defines Sunday afternoon.
Tomorrow's top pick, free, the moment it drops
Every pick is posted to the free Telegram channel before kickoff and the full record stays public, win or lose.
Join the free Telegram