Our model scores this match once both teams have enough recent form to work from, predictions publish in the days before kickoff. Form, head-to-head and season stats are available in the tabs above now.
How this scoreline is calculated
Arouca
Form comparisonNacional
Where those opponents sat in the table: strong means they averaged roughly the top 40%, weak roughly the bottom 40%, mixed in between.
Opposition faced: Arouca mixed, Nacional mixedThe form score weights every result and every goal by where the opponent sat in the table, so five wins over the bottom of the table score below five over the top.
- 21 Feb 2026Arouca3-0Nacional
- 20 Sept 2025Nacional1-2Arouca
- 01 Feb 2025Nacional1-2Arouca
- 25 Aug 2024Arouca1-0Nacional
- 06 May 2018Arouca0-1Nacional
- 19 Sept 2026vsSporting CP2-2D
- 13 Sept 2026vsSanta Clara1-2L
- 07 Sept 2026vsEstoril0-0D
- 29 Aug 2026vsMaritimo2-1W
- 23 Aug 2026vsFC Porto2-0L
- 19 Sept 2026vsFamalicao0-4L
- 12 Sept 2026vsAlverca1-3L
- 05 Sept 2026vsSporting CP2-0L
- 30 Aug 2026vsEstrela2-3L
- 23 Aug 2026vsVitória SC1-0L
Arouca vs Nacional: form and season numbers
Arouca take a form score of 5.5 out of 10 into this Primeira Liga fixture, against 1.8 for Nacional. Arouca have 1 win, 2 draws and 2 defeats in their last 5, while Nacional have 5 defeats in theirs. Across the season Arouca average 1.2 goals scored and 1.0 conceded per game, Nacional 0.8 and 1.8. Arouca have kept a clean sheet in 50% of their matches this season, Nacional in 20%. In their last 10 meetings Arouca have won 6, drawn 3 and lost 1. Arouca sit 5th on 11 points, Nacional 15th on 4.
Form, head-to-head and season statistics are free to read. The model's predictions for this fixture are in the cards above.
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