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    Brasileirao · kickoff 22:30
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    Atletico Mineiro
    Atletico Mineiro
    7th in the table
    LLWWD
    We make it
    1-1
    2.4 goals expected
    Bragantino-SP
    Bragantino-SP
    10th in the table
    WLLDL

    What we would back

    Powered by Formatic AI
    Match resultTop Pick
    Atletico Mineiro or Draw@ 1.30
    8/10
    Atletico Mineiro winning or the draw covers two of the three results, 74% between them. Only Bragantino-SP winning beats it, at 26%.
    GoalsValue
    Under 2.5 Goals@ 1.85
    5/10
    We make the total 2.4 goals, so Under 2.5 Goals lands 56%. The line below, Under 1.5, is 30%.
    Second goals line
    Under 3.5 Goals@ 1.29
    9/10
    Under 3.5 Goals lands 77%. The line below, Under 2.5, is 56%.

    Top Pick is the card that stands out most against what its market usually offers, so it is rarely the shortest price here and not always the best rated. Banker is the shortest price under 1.25, and Value the longest over 1.60. Every one is published before kickoff and settled in public.

    how we see it finishing
    47%
    Atletico Mineiro
    27%
    Draw
    26%
    Bragantino-SP

    Our own numbers, from the goal rates the model fits for each side.

    We expect around 2.4 goalsWe make it 1 - 1

    Our score is the one that fits the goals we expect, so it is not always the biggest percentage above: the single likeliest score is usually a low scoring draw, and even that lands only about 12% of the time. This is the model's working, not a tip. The bets it leads to are above.

    12.05
    X3.40
    23.40

    How this scoreline is calculated

    Atletico Mineiro

    Form comparison

    Bragantino-SP

    6.4
    Form scoreout of 10, last 10 matches
    4.0
    Form score: Atletico Mineiro 6.4, Bragantino-SP 4.0
    1.50
    Goals scoredper game, last 10
    1.00
    Goals scored: Atletico Mineiro 1.50, Bragantino-SP 1.00
    1.30
    Goals concededper game, last 10, lower is better
    1.40
    Goals conceded: Atletico Mineiro 1.30, Bragantino-SP 1.40
    mixed
    Opposition facedlast 10
    strong

    Where those opponents sat in the table: strong means they averaged roughly the top 40%, weak roughly the bottom 40%, mixed in between.

    Opposition faced: Atletico Mineiro mixed, Bragantino-SP strong

    The form score weights every result and every goal by where the opponent sat in the table, so five wins over the bottom of the table score below five over the top.

    0/5Atletico Mineiro
    Clean Sheetslast 5 games
    Bragantino-SP1/5
    2/5Atletico Mineiro
    Failed to Scorelast 5 games
    Bragantino-SP0/5
    1.5Atletico Mineiro
    Goals For per game
    Bragantino-SP1.0
    1.3Atletico Mineiro
    Goals Against per game
    Bragantino-SP1.4
    1.1Atletico Mineiro
    Yellow Cards per game
    Bragantino-SP2.4
    0Atletico Mineiro
    Win Streakmatches
    Bragantino-SP0
    Season averages • Atletico Mineiro: 10 matches • Bragantino-SP: 10 matches • Refreshed weekly
    Atletico Mineiro
    Atletico Mineiro
    Solid6.4/10
    Form score, last 10 matches
    LLWWD
    Over 2.5 goals
    2/5
    BTTS
    3/5
    Clean sheet
    0/5
    Scored in
    3/5
    Bragantino-SP
    Bragantino-SP
    Mixed4.0/10
    Form score, last 10 matches
    WLLDL
    Over 2.5 goals
    3/5
    BTTS
    4/5
    Clean sheet
    1/5
    Scored in
    5/5
    Last 5 meetings
    5W - 3D - 2L from Atletico Mineiro's perspective
    • 19 Aug 2026Atletico-MG2-2RB Bragantino
    • 12 Aug 2026RB Bragantino0-1Atletico-MG
    • 04 Feb 2026RB Bragantino1-0Atletico-MG
    • 16 Nov 2025RB Bragantino2-0Atletico-MG
    • 03 Aug 2025Atletico-MG2-1RB Bragantino
    Atletico Mineiro
    Atletico Mineiro
    Last 5 matches
    • 19 Sept 2026vsChapecoense-sc1-1D
    • 16 Sept 2026vsSantos4-2W
    • 12 Sept 2026vsFluminense3-1W
    • 09 Sept 2026vsSantos2-0L
    • 05 Sept 2026vsSao Paulo2-0L
    Bragantino-SP
    Bragantino-SP
    Last 5 matches
    • 20 Sept 2026vsFlamengo2-1L
    • 12 Sept 2026vsBotafogo1-1D
    • 05 Sept 2026vsBahia2-3L
    • 29 Aug 2026vsSao Paulo2-1L
    • 23 Aug 2026vsGremio1-0W
    PosTeamPts
    5Bahia46
    6Cruzeiro45
    7Atletico Mineiro40
    8Santos38
    9Coritiba38
    10Bragantino-SP36
    11Sao Paulo36
    12Botafogo35
    Updated daily

    Atletico Mineiro vs Bragantino-SP: form and season numbers

    Atletico Mineiro take a form score of 6.4 out of 10 into this Brasileirao fixture, against 4.0 for Bragantino-SP. Atletico Mineiro have 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats in their last 5, while Bragantino-SP have 1 win, 1 draw and 3 defeats in theirs. Across the season Atletico Mineiro average 1.5 goals scored and 1.3 conceded per game, Bragantino-SP 1.0 and 1.4. Atletico Mineiro have kept a clean sheet in 10% of their matches this season, Bragantino-SP in 20%. In their last 10 meetings Atletico Mineiro have won 5, drawn 3 and lost 2. Atletico Mineiro sit 7th on 40 points, Bragantino-SP 10th on 36.

    Form, head-to-head and season statistics are free to read. The model's predictions for this fixture are in the cards above.

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