

Our model scores this match once both teams have enough recent form to work from, predictions publish in the days before kickoff. Form, head-to-head and season stats are available in the tabs above now.
The form score weights every result and every goal by where the opponent sat in the table, so five wins over the bottom of the table score below five over the top.




Barcelona take a form score of 6.0 out of 10 into this La Liga fixture, against 4.0 for Racing Santander. Barcelona have 3 wins and 2 defeats in their last 5, while Racing Santander have 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeat in theirs. Across the season Barcelona average 2.1 goals scored and 0.9 conceded per game, Racing Santander 2.4 and 1.1. Barcelona have kept a clean sheet in 30% of their matches this season, Racing Santander in 10%. In their last 5 meetings Barcelona have won 5, drawn 0 and lost 0. Barcelona sit 6th on 0 points, Racing Santander 10th on 0.
Form, head-to-head and season statistics are free to read. The model's predictions for this fixture are in the cards above.
Barcelona have won all five recorded meetings with Racing Santander by an aggregate score of 13 goals to nil, a record stretching back to 2010 that includes no draws and no opposition goals across those fixtures. The most recent encounter in January 2026 finished 2-0 to Barcelona, maintaining a pattern that has seen them keep a clean sheet in every itemised head to head. Three of the five meetings have gone over 2.5 goals, and both teams have never scored together in this fixture across the available sample.
Barcelona arrive with 3 wins from their last 5 matches but also 2 defeats, a record that earns them a steady rating of 6 out of 10. They scored 10 goals across that run and conceded 6, finding the net in 4 of those 5 outings. The defeats came away to Valencia (1-3) and Alaves (0-1) in La Liga either side of May, but the wins have been comfortable, notably a 2-0 home victory over Real Madrid in May and a 3-1 success against Real Betis at the same venue. Their most recent outing was a 4-1 friendly win over Europa FC in late July. Over a 9-match sample this season, Barcelona average 12.8 shots per game, put 5.4 on target and control 69.7 percent of possession, generating 1.51 expected goals per fixture. They have kept clean sheets in 30 percent of games and failed to score in just 10 percent.
Racing Santander return to the top flight with 2 wins and 2 draws from their last 5, though one defeat leaves them rated 4 out of 10 for patchy form. Their competitive spring was strong, with 4-1 home wins over both Cadiz and Valladolid in the Segunda División sandwiching a 1-1 draw at Malaga. All three of those matches saw them score, and they managed 10 goals across the 5-match sample, the same total as Barcelona, while also conceding 6. However, Racing Santander kept no clean sheets in those fixtures. Their pre-season has been mixed, a 1-1 friendly draw at Real Sociedad followed by a 0-2 loss away to Osasuna.
The form gap stands at 2 points in Barcelona's favour, and the head to head record offers no encouragement for the visitors, who have never taken a point from the fixtures documented in this brief. Barcelona's season profile shows they dominate possession and create chances consistently, averaging over 5 shots on target per game, while Racing Santander have yet to demonstrate defensive solidity even against second-tier opposition. The hosts have scored in 4 of their last 5 and conceded in 4 of 5, which suggests goals at both ends are possible, yet the head to head pattern points firmly toward a home win with Racing Santander struggling to register. Given that 3 of the 5 previous meetings cleared 2.5 goals and Barcelona managed 3 or more in three of those, the home side's attacking output will likely define the margin.
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