

Our model scores this match once both teams have enough recent form to work from, predictions publish in the days before kickoff. Form, head-to-head and season stats are available in the tabs above now.
How this scoreline is calculated
Where those opponents sat in the table: strong means they averaged roughly the top 40%, weak roughly the bottom 40%, mixed in between.
Opposition faced: Bayern Munich mixed, Dortmund weakThe form score weights every result and every goal by where the opponent sat in the table, so five wins over the bottom of the table score below five over the top.




Bayern Munich take a form score of 9.4 out of 10 into this Bundesliga fixture, against 8.2 for Dortmund. Bayern Munich have 4 wins and 1 draw in their last 5, while Dortmund have 5 wins in theirs. Across the season Bayern Munich average 3.4 goals scored and 0.8 conceded per game, Dortmund 2.4 and 1.0. Bayern Munich have kept a clean sheet in 30% of their matches this season, Dortmund in 50%. In their last 10 meetings Bayern Munich have won 6, drawn 3 and lost 1. Bayern Munich sit 2nd on 10 points, Dortmund 1st on 12.
Form, head-to-head and season statistics are free to read. The model's predictions for this fixture are in the cards above.
Tomorrow's top pick, free, the moment it drops
Every pick is posted to the free Telegram channel before kickoff and the full record stays public, win or lose.
Join the free Telegram