Benevento begin their Serie B campaign against a Modena side whose late-season collapse offers little encouragement. The hosts arrive with an 8.67 out of 10 form rating, excellent by any measure and built on a flawless recent run that includes silverware and clean discipline. Modena limp in at 4.67 out of 10, patchy form underpinned by three defeats in their last four competitive outings. That 4-point gap in weighted performance is the widest you will find on the opening weekend, and it frames a fixture where one side looks ready and the other looks fragile.

Benevento's last five matches tell a story of consistency and attacking threat. They have scored in all five, putting 10 goals past their opponents while conceding just 4. Two clean sheets in that run include a 2-0 win away to Ostia Mare in a pre-season friendly and a 1-0 home victory over Arezzo in the Serie C Supercoppa Lega Finals. The standout result is a 4-1 away win at Vicenza Virtus in the same competition, a performance that underlined their ability to perform away from home and break open opponents in the final third. Even the draws carried goals, with 2-2 at home to Audace Cerignola and 1-1 away to Giugliano both seeing Benevento find the net. Three wins, two draws and no defeats across that stretch is the profile of a side moving upward with purpose, and the transition from Serie C silverware to Serie B football looks seamless on current evidence.

Modena's recent record offers a stark contrast. They managed just 2 wins from their last 5, scored in only 2 of those 5, and collected a single clean sheet. Strip out the 5-0 home win over Virtus Bolzano in a club friendly and the competitive picture is bleak: three straight Serie B defeats, all by a 1-0 scoreline, with losses at home to Juve Stabia, away to Avellino and away to Monza. The one competitive win in that sequence came at home to Reggiana, a 2-1 result on 1 May, but it was immediately followed by another defeat. In total they conceded 4 goals across the five matches, but the inability to score in three of the four competitive fixtures is the more pressing concern. A side that managed 7 goals in five outings overall but just 2 in the four that mattered has questions to answer in the final third, and those questions arrive on the opening day of a new season.

The head to head record over the last two meetings slightly favours Benevento, who won once and drew once, leaving Modena without a victory. The fixtures averaged 2.5 goals per meeting and both teams scored in both, suggesting an open contest when these sides meet. Benevento won 2-1 at home in May 2023 and the reverse fixture in December 2022 finished 1-1. Over 2.5 goals landed in one of the two, so while the recent history hints at goals, it does not guarantee a shootout. That said, Benevento have scored in all five of their recent outings and Modena, despite their struggles, have conceded in four of their last five competitive matches. The numbers point toward Benevento controlling this fixture from the opening whistle, with the hosts' attacking consistency likely to meet a visiting defence that leaked goals late in the previous campaign and has offered little evidence of improvement.