

Our model scores this match once both teams have enough recent form to work from, predictions publish in the days before kickoff. Form, head-to-head and season stats are available in the tabs above now.
The form score weights every result and every goal by where the opponent sat in the table, so five wins over the bottom of the table score below five over the top.




Bochum take a form score of 6.0 out of 10 into this 2. Bundesliga fixture, against 6.8 for Greuther Furth. Bochum have 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat in their last 5, while Greuther Furth have 4 wins and 1 defeat in theirs. Across the season Bochum average 1.3 goals scored and 1.1 conceded per game, Greuther Furth 1.7 and 1.0. Bochum have kept a clean sheet in 20% of their matches this season, Greuther Furth in 30%. In their last 10 meetings Bochum have won 6, drawn 2 and lost 2. Bochum sit 9th on 0 points, Greuther Furth 16th on 0.
Form, head-to-head and season statistics are free to read. The model's predictions for this fixture are in the cards above.
Bochum welcome Greuther Furth to the 2. Bundesliga on Saturday carrying a form score of 5.33 out of 10, while the visitors arrive rated at 8.67, creating a gap of 3.34 in Greuther Furth's favour. That divergence is rooted in pre-season, where Furth have won 4 of their last 5 matches and scored 11 goals across that stretch, conceding only 4. Their most recent outing was a 3-2 victory away to FC Zurich, part of a run that also included a 3-0 win at Eltersdorf and a 3-1 success at Eintracht Bamberg. The lone setback in that sequence was a 0-1 reverse at Bayreuth, but the broader trajectory has been one of attacking intent and consistent conversion. Furth have scored in 4 of their last 5 and kept clean sheets in 2 of those fixtures, suggesting both ends of the pitch have been functioning.
Bochum's recent record is more uneven. They have taken 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat from their last 5, scoring 7 and conceding 5. Their friendlies included a 2-0 win at Swansea and a 3-2 success at Rot-weiss Oberhausen, but they were beaten 0-2 away to Werder Bremen in their most recent outing and held to a 1-1 draw at Ajax before that. They have scored in 4 of 5 and recorded clean sheets in 2 of 5, mirroring Furth's defensive return but doing so from a lower platform of form confidence. Over a broader 5-match sample, Bochum have averaged 11.4 shots and 3.4 on target per game, generating 1.05 expected goals per fixture and averaging 3.6 corners. Their possession sits at 42.6 percent and they commit an average of 13 fouls, collecting 2.8 yellow cards per match. They have kept clean sheets in 20 percent of those games and failed to score in 20 percent, a profile that points to inconsistency rather than a settled attacking rhythm.
The head to head record across the last 10 meetings favours Bochum heavily, with 6 wins to Greuther Furth's 2 and 2 draws. Those fixtures have averaged 3.2 goals, with both teams scoring in 7 of the 10 and over 2.5 goals landing in 8 of 10. The five most recent encounters all went Bochum's way: 2-1 at home on 26 April 2026, 3-0 away on 29 November 2025, 2-1 at home on 5 March 2022, 1-0 away on 16 October 2021 and 2-1 away on 6 March 2021. That sequence stretches back across multiple seasons and underlines a pattern of narrow margins and regular goals, even as Bochum claimed each result.
The contrast between recent form and historical dominance shapes this fixture. Greuther Furth arrive with sharper momentum and a clean set of pre-season results, while Bochum carry the weight of past success in this pairing but a muddier recent picture. The goals profile suggests both teams will find chances, given that Furth have scored 11 in 5 and both sides have conceded in 3 of their last 5. The head to head pattern of 3.2 goals per meeting and both teams scoring in 7 of 10 supports a fixture with attacking intent at both ends. Furth's form score of 8.67 and their run of 4 wins from 5 suggest they are capable of breaking Bochum's historical grip on this match-up, particularly if Bochum's 42.6 percent possession and 1.05 expected goals per game hold true. The numbers point toward a contest where Furth's current sharpness meets Bochum's structural record, with the goals line and both teams to score markets likely to carry the most value given the recent output at both ends and the 80 percent over 2.5 goals hit rate across the last 10 meetings.
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