Cádiz CF return to Segunda División after relegation with a form profile that reads 1.33 out of 10, ranking as very poor across their weighted last five fixtures. Four defeats in those five matches tell a grim story, with only a 7-0 win away to Barbate in a pre-season friendly breaking the sequence. Competitive form ended with a 1-4 defeat away to Racing Santander, and the summer has brought three more friendly losses: 0-1 at home to Cordoba, 0-1 at home to Leicester, and 1-2 at home to Orlando Pirates. Across those five outings Cádiz have managed 9 goals scored and 8 conceded, but the Barbate result accounts for seven of those strikes, leaving just 2 goals from the other four fixtures. They have scored in 3 of 5 and kept one clean sheet.

Girona arrive with a form score of 3.56 out of 10, described as patchy, which still leaves a gap of 2.23 in their favour over their opponents. Their recent record shows 1 win, 2 draws and 2 defeats, with 5 goals scored and 5 conceded across the sample. Competitive fixtures from the tail end of their La Liga campaign produced a 1-1 draw at home to Elche, a 0-1 defeat away to Atletico Madrid, and a 1-1 draw at home to Real Sociedad, with pre-season friendlies then delivering a 3-1 win away to Olot before a 0-1 home loss to Alaves. Girona have scored in 3 of their last 5 but have yet to record a clean sheet in that span, conceding in every fixture.

The head to head record across the last 9 meetings favours Girona with 4 wins to Cádiz's 3, plus 2 draws. Those encounters have averaged 2.22 goals per meeting, with both teams scoring in 4 of 9 and over 2.5 goals landing in 3 of 9. The most recent clash on 20 April 2024 saw Girona win 4-1, while the previous meeting on 7 October 2023 finished 0-1 to Girona. Cádiz's last win in the series came on 10 February 2023 when they took it 2-0, and the fixture before that ended 1-1 on 15 October 2022. The earliest itemised meeting on 16 January 2021 went 2-0 to Girona.

Form and recent results point decisively toward the visitors. Cádiz have won once in five and that victory came against lower-league opposition in a friendly, while Girona's patchy run still includes competitive draws against La Liga mid-table sides and a solid friendly win. The head to head series is tight overall but Girona have taken the last two, including a four-goal haul in the most recent encounter. Neither side is keeping clean sheets at present, with Girona conceding in all of their last 5 and Cádiz managing only one shut-out from the same sample, which suggests goals at both ends remain possible despite modest scoring totals. The form gap and the direction of travel favour the away side, and Cádiz's reliance on a single lopsided friendly result to flatter their goal tally leaves them looking vulnerable as competitive football resumes.