Celta Vigo B welcome Andorra to the Segunda División on Sunday with contrasting preparation patterns framing the contest. The hosts carry a weighted form score of 6 out of 10 from a steady pre-season build, while Andorra arrive rated at 8 out of 10 after an excellent run through their friendlies. That 2-point form gap in the visitors' favour marks the clearest numerical divide heading into the opening weekend, though the context behind each side's recent results tells a more layered story.

Celta Vigo B have gone unbeaten across their last 5 matches, recording 2 wins and 3 draws without defeat. Their most recent outing was a 1-1 draw away to Lugo in a friendly on 25 July, but the bulk of their meaningful work came in the Primera División RFEF play-offs during June. They beat Ponferradina 4-1 at home on 20 June before drawing 0-0 away in the reverse fixture on 13 June, and earlier dispatched Europa Fc 3-2 at home on 7 June following a 1-1 draw away on 31 May. Across those 5 fixtures they scored 9 goals and conceded 5, finding the net in 4 of the 5 matches and keeping a single clean sheet. The rhythm is there, but three of their five outings ended level, and the competitive edge has not been tested since mid-June.

Andorra have built their 8-out-of-10 form rating primarily on friendly results, winning 3 of their last 5 with 1 draw and 1 loss. They beat Gimnastic 2-0 away on 25 July, hammered Inter Club d'Escaldes 5-2 at home the previous day, and defeated Millwall 2-1 at home on 14 July, either side of a 0-0 draw at home to Stevenage on 18 July. Their sole defeat in this sample came in their last competitive fixture, a 0-1 loss away to Burgos on 31 May in Segunda División action. Over the 5 matches they scored 9 and conceded 4, registering 2 clean sheets and scoring in 3 of the 5. The goals tally is identical to their opponents' but the defensive record is marginally tighter, and the sheer volume of pre-season activity suggests a side tuned for the campaign start.

The head-to-head ledger across the last 2 meetings shows 1 win apiece with no draws. Andorra won 2-0 at home on 9 March 2025, while Celta Vigo B took the reverse fixture 3-0 on 15 December 2024. The 2 matches averaged 2.5 goals, with both teams scoring in neither encounter and over 2.5 goals landing in 1 of the 2. Those clean-sheet victories suggest a fixture where one side tends to dominate on the day rather than a back-and-forth affair, and the fact that each result was decided by multiple goals implies margin rather than tight margins when the balance tips.

Formatic's model has yet to price this fixture, with cards due closer to kick-off, but the underlying numbers point toward a contest between a side whose competitive sharpness peaked six weeks ago and one that has drilled intensively through July. Andorra's superior form weighting and fresher preparation calendar argue for an edge in tempo, while Celta Vigo B's home advantage and playoff experience provide defensive structure. The head-to-head pattern of decisive home wins and the current goals profiles both suggest a result with fewer than 3 total goals is plausible, though the visitors' 5-2 demolition of Inter Club d'Escaldes demonstrates their capacity to overwhelm when the opportunity presents. The form gap of 2 points is modest but real, and translating pre-season momentum into league points on the road will define whether Andorra's excellent rating carries weight beyond the friendly circuit.