Celta Vigo B welcome Eibar to Segunda División on Sunday with a notable form advantage heading into the new campaign. The hosts carry a weighted last-five score of 6 out of 10, rated steady across their recent outings, while Eibar limp into this opener on 3.33 out of 10, a poor return that leaves a form gap of 2.67 in Celta Vigo B's favour. That difference is rooted in contrasting end-of-season trajectories and pre-season preparation, with the home side unbeaten across their last five matches and Eibar managing just one win from the same sample.

Celta Vigo B have played their way into competitive sharpness through the Primera División RFEF play-offs, winning 2 and drawing 3 without defeat across their last five. They scored 9 goals in that stretch and conceded 5, finding the net in 4 of the 5 fixtures and keeping one clean sheet. The run includes a 4-1 home victory over Ponferradina in the play-offs on 20 June, sandwiched between a 0-0 draw away to the same opponents and a 3-2 home win against Europa FC. They also drew 1-1 away to Europa FC on 31 May and picked up a 1-1 result at Lugo in a friendly on 25 July. That sequence suggests a side comfortable in front of goal and capable of grinding out results when needed, though their defensive record shows room for tightening ahead of the league campaign proper.

Eibar's recent form tells a less encouraging story. They have won just 1, drawn 2 and lost 2 of their last five, scoring 7 and conceding 7 across that period. While they have scored in all 5 matches, they have managed only one clean sheet, and both their competitive defeats came away from home. A 1-2 loss at Castellón on 31 May was followed by a 2-0 home win over Cordoba on 24 May, but before that they fell 1-2 at Cultural Leonesa on 16 May. Their pre-season friendlies produced two draws, 2-2 away to Athletic Club on 25 July and 1-1 at Alaves on 18 July, results that show goals at both ends but little defensive solidity or rhythm heading into the new season. That vulnerability on the road is particularly relevant here, where they face a Celta Vigo B side who have not lost in five and scored 4 in their most recent home outing.

The goals profile hints at an open contest. Celta Vigo B averaged 1.8 goals scored per match across their last five and conceded at a rate of 1 per game, while Eibar scored 1.4 per fixture and conceded 1.4, a symmetry that suggests porous defending rather than control. Both teams have scored in all five of Eibar's recent matches and in four of Celta Vigo B's, pointing toward a fixture where both nets are tested. The hosts' ability to score multiple goals at home, demonstrated by the 4-1 and 3-2 wins in the play-offs, gives them a platform to exploit an Eibar defence that has shipped goals in four of their last five.

Celta Vigo B's unbeaten streak and superior form rating position them as favourites to take points from this opening fixture. Eibar's twin away defeats in May and their failure to tighten up defensively in pre-season suggest they will struggle to contain a home side who have built momentum through competitive play-off football. The numbers point to a Celta Vigo B side capable of winning this encounter, with the goals data suggesting the visitors may find the net but lack the defensive foundation to prevent the hosts from claiming all three points.