Ceuta welcome Real Sociedad B to Segunda División action carrying a poor weighted form score of 3.33 out of 10, while the visitors arrive with a patchy 4.22, opening a modest form gap of 0.89 in favour of the B side. Both teams closed the previous competitive campaign showing defensive fragility, and their pre-season work has done little to suggest that pattern will reverse when the fixture list resumes. Ceuta's last five matches yielded 2 wins, 0 draws and 3 defeats, scoring 5 and conceding 7. Real Sociedad B managed 1 win, 2 draws and 2 losses across the same sample, with 8 scored and 8 conceded. Neither side has found consistency, but the visitors have at least shown a greater willingness to push numbers forward, even if the defensive return has been unconvincing.

Ceuta's competitive fixtures at the tail end of May painted a contradictory picture. They were dismantled 4-1 at home by Malaga, then travelled to FC Andorra and won 2-0, before closing with a 1-0 home victory over Albacete. That three-match competitive sequence delivered 2 wins from 3, yet the 4-goal concession against Malaga and subsequent friendly defeats of 1-0 to Juventud Torremolinos and 2-1 to Sevilla reveal a side that has struggled to impose itself when tested. The hosts have scored in 4 of their last 5 but managed clean sheets in only 2, and both of those shutouts came in the victories over Andorra and Albacete. The friendlies suggest the defensive organisation that secured those results has not carried into the new cycle.

Real Sociedad B's recent competitive outings were equally volatile. They drew 2-2 at home to Mirandes, lost 3-1 away to Albacete, then salvaged a 1-1 home draw with Cultural Leonesa. The trip to Albacete was particularly damaging, conceding 3 in a fixture where control was never established. Pre-season brought a 2-0 reverse at Burgos before a 4-0 home thrashing of PAU offered a fleeting suggestion of attacking intent. The visitors have scored in 4 of their last 5 and kept 1 clean sheet, but the 8 goals conceded across that sample underline a defence that has been breached regularly. The 4-0 win over PAU may lift confidence, but friendlies carry less weight than the competitive evidence, and that evidence points to a side that ships chances.

The head to head record across the last 2 meetings favours Ceuta with 1 win, 0 for Real Sociedad B and 1 draw. The fixtures have averaged 2.0 goals, with both teams scoring in 1 of the 2 and over 2.5 goals landing once. Ceuta won 3-1 away on 21 December 2025, then the sides played out a 0-0 draw on 10 April 2026. That recent stalemate suggests these teams can cancel each other out, yet the earlier meeting and the broader goals profile hint that when one side does break through, the other may lack the defensive solidity to shut the game down. With Ceuta scoring in 4 of 5 and Real Sociedad B netting in 4 of 5, both have shown the capacity to find the net, even if neither has convinced at the back. The form gap is narrow, the head to head is tight, and the goals data points toward a fixture where defensive frailties could decide the outcome.