

Our model scores this match once both teams have enough recent form to work from, predictions publish in the days before kickoff. Form, head-to-head and season stats are available in the tabs above now.
The form score weights every result and every goal by where the opponent sat in the table, so five wins over the bottom of the table score below five over the top.




Colorado Rapids take a form score of 4.0 out of 10 into this MLS fixture, against 10.0 for LAFC. Colorado Rapids have 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats in their last 5, while LAFC have 5 wins in theirs. Across the season Colorado Rapids average 0.8 goals scored and 0.9 conceded per game, LAFC 2.0 and 1.6. Colorado Rapids have kept a clean sheet in 30% of their matches this season, LAFC in 40%. In their last 10 meetings Colorado Rapids have won 2, drawn 3 and lost 5. Colorado Rapids sit 13th on 19 points, LAFC 2nd on 33.
Form, head-to-head and season statistics are free to read. The model's predictions for this fixture are in the cards above.
LAFC arrive in Colorado carrying a flawless recent record and sitting 11 places and 14 points above their hosts in a 30-team league table. The visitors hold second spot on 33 points from 18 matches, level with Vancouver Whitecaps at the summit, while the Rapids occupy 13th with 19 points from 17 fixtures. That 14-point chasm reflects not only the season-long gulf but the chasm in current trajectory: Formatic's weighted form score rates LAFC at a maximum 10 out of 10 against Colorado's patchy 4 out of 10, a six-point gap that ranks among the widest spreads on any MLS fixture this round.
LAFC have won all five of their most recent outings, scoring 14 goals and conceding just once across that span. They have found the net in every one of those matches and kept four clean sheets in five, a defensive solidity that underpins their title challenge. The 4-0 dismantling of Sporting Kansas City on 26 July was followed three days earlier by a 3-1 home win over Real Salt Lake, and before that a 3-0 victory away to Los Angeles Galaxy on 18 July. Even allowing for a 3-0 friendly success against El Salvador, the competitive sequence shows LAFC scoring three or more in three consecutive league fixtures and conceding only to Salt Lake across four competitive contests. Their season tally of 34 scored and 18 conceded from 18 matches translates to 1.89 per game at one end and 1.00 at the other, a goals profile that marks them as both the second-most potent attack in the division and one of its tightest defences.
Colorado have taken two wins, a draw and two defeats from their last five, scoring 5 and conceding 4. They have scored in four of those five but managed clean sheets in only two, and the pattern has been inconsistent: a 1-0 home win over San Diego on 23 July sits between a 0-1 reverse at St. Louis City three days later and a 1-2 home loss to FC Dallas back in May. A 2-0 US Open Cup victory over San Jose Earthquakes and a 1-1 friendly draw with FC Juarez complete the set. The Rapids have won 6, drawn 1 and lost 10 across the league season, yielding a goal difference of plus 1 from 26 scored and 25 conceded. That 1.53 goals per game at each end speaks to a side neither especially clinical nor especially secure, and the single draw from 17 league matches hints at a team that tends to tip one way or the other rather than grind out stalemates.
The ten-meeting head-to-head ledger shows LAFC with 5 wins to Colorado's 2, plus 3 draws, a record that aligns with the current table positions and recent form. LAFC have scored in every one of their last five and conceded in only one, while Colorado have shipped goals in three of five and managed just 5 across the same sample. The visitors' defensive record of 1.00 conceded per game over the season stands in sharp contrast to the Rapids' 1.47, and that discipline has held firm even as LAFC have pushed forward relentlessly in recent weeks. With the model cards yet to be published, the raw numbers point to a fixture in which the league's second-placed side, riding a five-match winning streak and a perfect recent goals return, face a mid-table opponent whose solitary league draw and narrow overall goal difference leave little margin for error against elite opposition.
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