

Our model scores this match once both teams have enough recent form to work from, predictions publish in the days before kickoff. Form, head-to-head and season stats are available in the tabs above now.
Where those opponents sat in the table: strong means they averaged roughly the top 40%, weak roughly the bottom 40%, mixed in between.
Opposition faced: Columbus Crew mixed, CF Montreal mixedThe form score weights every result and every goal by where the opponent sat in the table, so five wins over the bottom of the table score below five over the top.




Columbus Crew take a form score of 5.0 out of 10 into this MLS fixture, against 5.0 for CF Montreal. Columbus Crew have 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat in their last 5, while CF Montreal have 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats in theirs. Across the season Columbus Crew average 1.6 goals scored and 1.5 conceded per game, CF Montreal 1.7 and 1.2. Columbus Crew have kept a clean sheet in 20% of their matches this season, CF Montreal in 30%. In their last 10 meetings Columbus Crew have won 5, drawn 4 and lost 1. Columbus Crew sit 11th on 19 points, CF Montreal 13th on 15.
Form, head-to-head and season statistics are free to read. The model's predictions for this fixture are in the cards above.
Columbus Crew welcome CF Montreal to what the numbers frame as a meeting between contrasting trajectories. The hosts sit 11th on 19 points from 17 matches, two places and 4 points clear of visitors who occupy 13th with 15 points from the same sample. That gap has widened in recent weeks as Columbus have posted a weighted form score of 6 out of 10 against Montreal's 2.67, a gulf of 3.33 that represents one of the sharper divergences in the middle reaches of a 30-team table topped by Vancouver Whitecaps FC on 33 points.
Columbus arrive with 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat across their last five fixtures, accumulating 7 goals scored and 4 conceded in that span. They have found the net in all five outings and kept 2 clean sheets, a run that includes a 2-1 home win over FC Cincinnati on 25 July and a 2-0 victory against Atlanta United FC on 24 May. The sole blemish was a 1-2 reverse at home to New York City FC on 22 July, sandwiched between otherwise productive performances. A 1-0 cup win over the same New York City side on 20 May underlines the competitiveness Columbus have shown in front of their own supporters, where four of those five matches took place. Their season profile shows 24 goals scored and 26 conceded across 17 league fixtures, rates of 1.41 and 1.53 per game that leave them narrowly in deficit at minus 2 on goal difference.
Montreal's recent record tells a harder story: 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats from five, managing just 4 goals and conceding 4. They have scored in only 2 of those matches and registered 1 clean sheet, a sequence that includes back-to-back 0-1 defeats at home to Inter Miami on 25 July and away to Nashville SC on 23 July, plus a goalless draw at home to Toronto FC on 16 July. The two wins both came in the Canadian Championship, 2-1 at home and away to Vancouver FC on 12 and 9 July respectively, but the competitive league form remains thin. Across the full 17-match campaign Montreal have scored 22 and conceded 33, translating to 1.29 per game at one end and a leaky 1.94 at the other, the worst defensive rate of the two sides and a contributor to their minus 11 goal difference.
The head to head record across the last 10 meetings favours Columbus heavily: 5 wins to Montreal's solitary success, with 4 draws. An average of 2.8 goals per fixture suggests these encounters rarely lack incident, with both teams scoring in 8 of 10 and over 2.5 goals landing in 7 of 10. The most recent five itemised clashes show Columbus unbeaten, taking three wins and two draws. They won 2-1 at home on 22 October 2023, drew 0-0 at home on 27 April 2024, won 3-1 away on 15 May 2024, won 2-1 at home on 5 April 2025 and drew 1-1 away on 14 May 2025. Montreal have not beaten Columbus in any of those five, a pattern that aligns with the current form and table positions.
With Columbus scoring in every recent outing and Montreal blanked in three of their last five league fixtures, the goals profile points toward a home advantage amplified by a 3.33 form gap. The head to head tendency for both teams to score sits against Montreal's struggles to find the net on the road, where they have managed just 4 goals in five and been shut out twice in succession. The table gap is modest but the momentum is clear, and the weight of recent evidence suggests Columbus should extend their unbeaten run against visitors whose defensive fragility and attacking inconsistency leave them vulnerable.
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