Córdoba welcome Girona to Segunda División on Sunday with a weighted form score of 5.33 out of 10 against visitors sitting at just 3.56, a gap of 1.77 that frames this fixture clearly in the hosts' favour. That steady recent run for Córdoba includes 1 win, 3 draws and 1 defeat across their last 5 outings, with friendlies accounting for three of those matches but the competitive picture still holding firm. They took a 1-1 draw at home to Huesca in their most recent Segunda División fixture on 31 May before falling 0-2 away to Eibar a week earlier, then closed pre-season with a 1-0 win away to Cadiz, a goalless home draw against Sevilla and another 1-1 away to Orlando Pirates. Across those 5 matches Córdoba have scored 3 and conceded 4, finding the net in 3 of 5 and keeping 2 clean sheets.

Girona's patchy return of 3.56 out of 10 tells a story of inconsistency bridging the end of a La Liga campaign and a pre-season that has done little to sharpen them. Their last 5 reads 1 win, 2 draws and 2 losses, with 5 scored and 5 conceded but crucially 0 clean sheets in that span. The competitive fixtures show 1-1 draws at home to both Elche and Real Sociedad in May, sandwiching a 0-1 defeat away to Atletico Madrid on 17 May. Pre-season brought a 3-1 win away to Olot on 22 July, but they followed that with a 0-1 home loss to Alaves three days later, extending a run in which they have failed to shut out an opponent in any of their last 5. That defensive fragility, coupled with modest attacking output, leaves them arriving at this Segunda División opener without the sharpness you would expect from a side stepping down a division.

The head to head record over the last 2 meetings is locked at 1 win apiece with 0 draws, producing 2.5 goals per meeting and both teams scoring in 1 of those 2. Córdoba won 2-1 at home on 10 June 2017, while Girona took the reverse fixture 2-0 on 15 January 2017. Over 2.5 goals landed in 1 of the 2, so the historical pattern offers no overwhelming template but does show both sides capable of deciding the contest when on home soil. With nearly a decade since those meetings, current form and league context matter far more, and on both counts Córdoba hold the edge.

Córdoba have scored in 3 of their last 5 and conceded in 3 of 5, while Girona have scored in 3 of 5 but conceded in all 5, a defensive record that will concern them heading into competitive action. The hosts' ability to grind draws and claim the occasional shutout, illustrated by clean sheets against Sevilla and Cadiz in pre-season, contrasts sharply with visitors who have not kept one in their last 5 attempts. Girona's step down from La Liga might suggest quality in the squad, but the evidence of recent weeks points to a side still searching for rhythm and defensive solidity. Córdoba's 1.77 form advantage is built on a more reliable defensive base and a steadier trajectory through the summer, and that gap should translate into control of this fixture when the two meet on Sunday.