Deportivo La Coruña welcome Sevilla to La Liga on Wednesday with their weighted form score sitting marginally higher at 5.78 out of 10 against Sevilla's 5.56, a gap of 0.22 in the hosts' favour. Both sides carry steady form profiles into the new campaign, but the numbers beneath those ratings tell sharply contrasting stories about how each has prepared and what shape they bring to the opening fixture.

Deportivo arrive with 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat across their last 5 outings, posting 9 goals scored and just 3 conceded in that span. They have found the net in 4 of those 5 and kept clean sheets in 3, a defensive solidity built largely through pre-season friendlies but rooted in competitive Segunda División fixtures at the tail end of the previous window. The 4-0 win away to Compostela and the 2-0 success at Valladolid both came with clean sheets, while the 2-1 home victory over FC Andorra and the scoreless draw away to Oviedo show a side capable of locking down at the back. The 1-2 home defeat to Las Palmas remains the lone blemish in a sequence that otherwise reflects control and efficiency.

Sevilla's recent record reads 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses, with 3 goals scored and 3 conceded across the same sample. They have scored in only 2 of their last 5 but claimed clean sheets in 2 of 5, suggesting a tighter defensive structure than their scoring output implies. The 2-1 home win over AD Ceuta FC and the 1-0 victory against Juventud Torremolinos were both narrow, low-scoring affairs. The goalless draw away to Cordoba and the 0-1 defeats to Cracovia Krakow and Celta Vigo complete a run that offers little in the way of attacking momentum heading into the new La Liga calendar.

The head to head ledger weighs heavily in Sevilla's favour across the last 10 meetings: 7 wins to Sevilla, 3 draws and 0 wins for Deportivo. Those encounters have averaged 3.5 goals per match, with both teams scoring in 7 of 10 and over 2.5 goals landing in 5 of 10. Among the 5 itemised fixtures, Sevilla claimed four wins and one draw, including a 4-2 victory on 8 April 2017 and a 3-2 success on 19 November 2016, both high-scoring affairs. The two draws, 0-0 on 17 April 2018 and 1-1 on 17 April 2016, show that stalemate is possible when Deportivo sit deep, but the overall pattern is one of Sevilla dominance.

The form gap is narrow and the hosts carry the sharper recent numbers, but history suggests Sevilla travel with the knowledge that they have never lost this fixture across the sample provided. Deportivo's 9 goals in 5 and 3 clean sheets point to a side with genuine threat at both ends, yet Sevilla's record in this matchup makes any price favouring the home side worth scrutinising closely. The goals profile from the head to head and the tight defensive numbers from both recent runs suggest a match that could hinge on a single moment of quality or a set-piece conversion.