

Our model scores this match once both teams have enough recent form to work from, predictions publish in the days before kickoff. Form, head-to-head and season stats are available in the tabs above now.
The form score weights every result and every goal by where the opponent sat in the table, so five wins over the bottom of the table score below five over the top.




Deportivo La Coruña take a form score of 5.8 out of 10 into this La Liga fixture, against 6.0 for Valencia. Deportivo La Coruña have 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat in their last 5, while Valencia have 3 wins and 2 defeats in theirs. Across the season Deportivo La Coruña average 1.7 goals scored and 0.7 conceded per game, Valencia 1.8 and 1.4. Deportivo La Coruña have kept a clean sheet in 40% of their matches this season, Valencia in 20%. In their last 10 meetings Deportivo La Coruña have won 1, drawn 4 and lost 5. Deportivo La Coruña sit 12th on 0 points, Valencia 19th on 0.
Form, head-to-head and season statistics are free to read. The model's predictions for this fixture are in the cards above.
Valencia arrive at Deportivo La Coruña with a pronounced historical advantage, having won 5 of the last 10 meetings between the sides while Deportivo have managed just 1 victory. The head to head record shows 3.1 goals per meeting and both teams have scored in 7 of those 10 fixtures, suggesting open encounters when these clubs meet. The most recent itemised meetings all went Valencia's way or ended level, including a 2-1 victory in May 2018 and a 3-0 win in April 2017, while the two meetings in 2016 both finished 1-1. Over 2.5 goals have landed in 6 of the 10 head to head fixtures, pointing to matches that reward attacking intent.
Deportivo La Coruña bring a steady form rating of 5.78 out of 10 into this contest, built on 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat across their last 5 outings. They have scored 9 goals and conceded just 3 in that sequence, securing clean sheets in 3 of those 5 matches and finding the net in 4. Their most recent competitive fixture ended in a 1-2 home defeat to Las Palmas in the Segunda División on 31 May, but before that they posted back-to-back wins, beating Valladolid 2-0 away and FC Andorra 2-1 at home. Pre-season friendlies have been more cautious, including a 0-0 draw away to Oviedo and a 4-0 victory at Compostela. The defensive solidity shown in those 3 clean sheets from 5 matches offers a foundation, though the competitive loss to Las Palmas indicates vulnerability when facing sharper opposition.
Valencia's form score of 6 out of 10 edges their hosts by a margin of 0.22, reflecting 3 wins and 2 defeats from their last 5 matches. They have scored 10 goals and conceded 7 in that run, scoring in all 5 fixtures but managing just 1 clean sheet. Their final competitive outing was a 3-1 home victory over Barcelona in La Liga on 23 May, a result that underlines their attacking capability. The consistency of their scoring run, 5 matches in a row with goals, contrasts with defensive lapses that saw them concede in 4 of those 5 outings.
The form gap is narrow at 0.22, and the head to head pattern of both teams scoring in 7 of 10 meetings aligns with Valencia's perfect recent scoring sequence and Deportivo's 4 from 5. Valencia's 5 wins from the last 10 head to head fixtures gives them the psychological edge, while Deportivo's 3 clean sheets from 5 suggest they can frustrate visitors if they replicate that defensive shape. The goals profile points toward a contest decided by fine margins, with the historical average of 3.1 goals per meeting and the over 2.5 goals landing in 6 of 10 indicating potential for an open match. Deportivo's solitary head to head win in this sample shows they can beat Valencia, but the pattern of 5 Valencia victories and the visitors' ability to score in every recent outing suggests the away side carry the greater threat. The outcome likely hinges on whether Deportivo can reproduce the defensive discipline that delivered 3 clean sheets, or whether Valencia's 10 goals from 5 matches proves the sharper weapon.
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