

Our model scores this match once both teams have enough recent form to work from, predictions publish in the days before kickoff. Form, head-to-head and season stats are available in the tabs above now.
How this scoreline is calculated
Where those opponents sat in the table: strong means they averaged roughly the top 40%, weak roughly the bottom 40%, mixed in between.
Opposition faced: Derby County mixed, Bolton mixedThe form score weights every result and every goal by where the opponent sat in the table, so five wins over the bottom of the table score below five over the top.




Derby County take a form score of 2.3 out of 10 into this Championship fixture, against 3.5 for Bolton. Derby County have 1 win, 1 draw and 3 defeats in their last 5, while Bolton have 2 wins and 3 defeats in theirs. Across the season Derby County average 0.9 goals scored and 1.7 conceded per game, Bolton 1.2 and 1.6. Derby County have kept a clean sheet in 10% of their matches this season, Bolton in 30%. In their last 10 meetings Derby County have won 6, drawn 2 and lost 2. Derby County sit 22nd on 5 points, Bolton 15th on 10.
Form, head-to-head and season statistics are free to read. The model's predictions for this fixture are in the cards above.
Tomorrow's top pick, free, the moment it drops
Every pick is posted to the free Telegram channel before kickoff and the full record stays public, win or lose.
Join the free Telegram