Our model scores this match once both teams have enough recent form to work from, predictions publish in the days before kickoff. Form, head-to-head and season stats are available in the tabs above now.
How this scoreline is calculated
Derby County
Form comparisonStoke City
Where those opponents sat in the table: strong means they averaged roughly the top 40%, weak roughly the bottom 40%, mixed in between.
Opposition faced: Derby County mixed, Stoke City mixedThe form score weights every result and every goal by where the opponent sat in the table, so five wins over the bottom of the table score below five over the top.
- 06 Apr 2026Derby2-0Stoke City
- 09 Aug 2025Stoke City3-1Derby
- 03 May 2025Derby0-0Stoke City
- 02 Nov 2024Stoke City2-1Derby
- 22 Jul 2023Derby3-0Stoke City
- 19 Sept 2026vsBurnley1-1D
- 12 Sept 2026vsBirmingham1-2L
- 09 Sept 2026vsWest Brom0-1L
- 05 Sept 2026vsWest Ham3-0L
- 01 Sept 2026vsPortsmouth0-2W
- 19 Sept 2026vsSheffield Utd2-1W
- 12 Sept 2026vsWatford1-2W
- 08 Sept 2026vsCardiff1-1D
- 05 Sept 2026vsCharlton4-0W
- 01 Sept 2026vsNorwich1-0W
Derby County vs Stoke City: form and season numbers
Derby County take a form score of 2.3 out of 10 into this Championship fixture, against 5.8 for Stoke City. Derby County have 1 win, 1 draw and 3 defeats in their last 5, while Stoke City have 4 wins and 1 draw in theirs. Across the season Derby County average 0.9 goals scored and 1.7 conceded per game, Stoke City 1.6 and 1.3. Derby County have kept a clean sheet in 10% of their matches this season, Stoke City in 30%. In their last 10 meetings Derby County have won 5, drawn 2 and lost 3. Derby County sit 22nd on 5 points, Stoke City 7th on 13.
Form, head-to-head and season statistics are free to read. The model's predictions for this fixture are in the cards above.
Tomorrow's top pick, free, the moment it drops
Every pick is posted to the free Telegram channel before kickoff and the full record stays public, win or lose.
Join the free Telegram