The hosts carry a weighted last-five score of 6.22 out of 10, a steady mark built on three wins from their last five outings and 14 goals scored across that run. Motherwell arrive on 4.67 out of 10, a patchy return that reflects two wins against three defeats and a goals-conceded tally of 11 in the same sample. That 1.55-point form gap sits entirely with the home side, but the head to head record offers a more nuanced picture of what happens when these two meet.

Dundee's recent results show attacking intent and defensive solidity in equal measure. They have scored in four of their last five, conceding just seven goals across the same stretch, and recorded clean sheets in two of those five. A 4-0 home win over Clyde on 25 July and a 5-0 away victory at Annan Athletic on 14 July illustrate the scale of that firepower, while a 4-2 home success against Airdrie United on 11 July added further weight to the summer tally. The 1-1 draw away to Ross County on 21 July and a 0-4 home friendly defeat to Everton on 18 July complete the picture, with the latter carrying lighter significance as pre-season opposition. Those 14 goals in five outings translate to an average comfortably above two per match, a rate that holds regardless of opponent quality.

Motherwell's five-match window is less consistent. They have scored eight and conceded 11, with two wins both arriving by narrow margins: a 2-0 home success over HB Torshavn in the UEFA Europa Conference League on 23 July and a 1-0 away win at Hibernian on 16 May. The three defeats include friendly losses of 3-4 at home to Genk on 17 July and 0-4 away to Aarhus on 5 July, plus a 2-3 home reverse against Celtic on 13 May in competitive action. Motherwell have scored in four of five but kept clean sheets in only two, and the 11 conceded across that span points to defensive vulnerability that Dundee will look to exploit.

The last 10 meetings between these sides have produced 3.1 goals per fixture, with both teams scoring in eight of those 10 and six crossing the 2.5-goal line. Motherwell hold a narrow 4-3 edge in wins, with three draws filling the ledger. The most recent five itemised fixtures show the balance shifting: Dundee won 2-1 at home on 7 March 2026, Motherwell took three consecutive victories including a 1-0 away success on 20 December 2025, a 2-1 home win on 3 May 2025 and another 2-1 home result on 26 February 2025, while a 1-1 draw on 13 September 2025 sits in the middle of that sequence. Four of those five saw both sides score, and the pattern suggests tight contests decided by single-goal margins.

Dundee's superior form and home advantage meet a Motherwell side whose defensive record across the last five has been fragile. The head to head history shows these fixtures trend open, and with 14 goals in Dundee's recent five against 11 conceded by Motherwell in theirs, the data supports expectation of goals and a narrow home edge. Whether that edge translates to three points depends on Dundee maintaining the clinical rate they demonstrated in July and Motherwell tightening a backline that has shipped 11 in five. The 3.1-goal average across the last 10 meetings and the both-teams-scoring rate of eight in 10 point toward an open contest, with Dundee's 6.22 form score offering the clearest indicator of which side holds the current momentum.