Formatic's weighted form score puts the visitors at 6.67 out of 10 against Eibar's 3.33, a gap of 3.34 points that reflects the differing trajectories of two sides preparing to open their Segunda División campaigns. While pre-season friendlies carry lighter weight than competitive fixtures, Granada have won their last two warm-up matches, defeating NEOM 2-0 before shutting out Real Betis 1-0. Eibar have drawn both of their recent friendlies, 2-2 at Athletic Club and 1-1 at Alaves, results that followed a competitive run of 1 win and 2 defeats across their final three league outings last term.

The hosts closed the previous season inconsistently, beaten 1-2 at Cultural Leonesa before recovering to win 2-0 at home to Cordoba, only to lose 1-2 at Castellón in their final competitive outing on 31 May. Across their last 5 matches they have managed 1 win, 2 draws and 2 defeats, scoring 7 and conceding 7. They have found the net in all 5 of those fixtures but registered just 1 clean sheet. Granada's recent competitive form was similarly mixed, losing 1-3 at Mirandes and 1-2 at home to Sporting Gijon before the summer break, yet they too have scored in all 5 of their last matches and collected 2 clean sheets in that sample. Their totals across those 5 stand at 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats, with 6 scored and 6 conceded.

The head to head record over the last 10 meetings tilts heavily toward Eibar, who have won 6 to Granada's solitary victory, with 3 draws completing the set. The five most recent encounters illustrate that dominance: a 0-0 draw on 19 January 2026 was preceded by a 3-0 Eibar win on 22 August 2025, a 0-2 away victory for Eibar on 12 May 2025, a 1-1 draw on 21 December 2024 and another 1-1 stalemate on 30 April 2023. Across the full 10-match sample, both teams have scored in 4 fixtures and the over 2.5 goals line has landed in 5, pointing to a series that has produced 2.6 goals per meeting but often leaned on one-sided scorelines rather than shootouts.

Granada's superior recent form and twin clean sheets in pre-season offer a foundation that contradicts the historical pattern, yet Eibar's 6 wins from 10 meetings remain a live reference point. The hosts have scored in every one of their last 5 outings, a sequence that persisted even through competitive defeats, and Granada have done likewise. With both sides netting in 4 of the last 10 head to head clashes and 5 of those 10 exceeding 2.5 goals, the fixture has shown a capacity for open exchanges when it moves beyond the low-scoring wins that dominate Eibar's ledger. The 3.34-point form gap and Granada's back-to-back shutouts in warm-up games frame a meeting where the visitors' sharpness meets a home side still searching for consistency, and where current rhythm may weigh more heavily than historic dominance at the opening whistle of a new campaign.