

Our model scores this match once both teams have enough recent form to work from, predictions publish in the days before kickoff. Form, head-to-head and season stats are available in the tabs above now.
The form score weights every result and every goal by where the opponent sat in the table, so five wins over the bottom of the table score below five over the top.




Eibar take a form score of 5.9 out of 10 into this Segunda Division fixture, against 4.5 for Las Palmas. Eibar have 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeat in their last 5, while Las Palmas have 1 win, 1 draw and 3 defeats in theirs. Across the season Eibar average 1.6 goals scored and 1.2 conceded per game, Las Palmas 1.3 and 1.6. Eibar have kept a clean sheet in 40% of their matches this season, Las Palmas in 0%. In their last 10 meetings Eibar have won 5, drawn 2 and lost 3. Eibar sit 7th on 0 points, Las Palmas 3rd on 0.
Form, head-to-head and season statistics are free to read. The model's predictions for this fixture are in the cards above.
Eibar welcome Las Palmas to the Segunda División on Sunday with both sides carrying patchy form into the new campaign. The hosts score 3.33 out of 10 on Formatic's weighted recent form measure, while the visitors edge ahead at 3.78, a gap of just 0.45 that reflects two teams arriving in similar circumstances. Across their last five outings, Eibar have taken 1 win, 2 draws and 2 losses, scoring 7 and conceding 7. Las Palmas have managed 1 win, 1 draw and 3 defeats over the same span, finding the net 5 times and shipping 7. Neither side has carried momentum out of pre-season, and the competitive edge both will need has been blunted by a summer of mixed results.
Eibar's recent schedule includes two friendlies and three Segunda División fixtures from the tail end of the previous campaign. They drew 2-2 away to Athletic Club on 25 July and 1-1 away to Alaves on 18 July, both preparatory matches that carry limited predictive weight. In competitive action, they lost 1-2 away to Castellón on 31 May, beat Cordoba 2-0 at home on 24 May, and fell 1-2 away to Cultural Leonesa on 16 May. The hosts have scored in all 5 of those matches but managed only 1 clean sheet across the same stretch, suggesting a side that contributes going forward but struggles to shut opponents out. That fragility at the back will be tested by visitors who, despite their own inconsistency, have shown they can punish mistakes.
Las Palmas arrive on the back of three friendlies and two competitive fixtures. They won 3-2 at home to União de Leiria on 28 July, lost 1-2 at home to Al-Ittihad on 25 July, and went down 0-1 away to Orlando Pirates on 22 July. In Segunda División action, they drew 1-1 away to Malaga on 10 June before losing 0-1 at home to the same opponent on 7 June. The visitors have scored in only 3 of their last 5 and have kept 0 clean sheets, a defensive record that matches Eibar's vulnerability. Over a 3-match sample this season, Las Palmas average 9 shots and 4 on target per game, carry 47.3 percent possession, and concede in every outing. They have failed to score in 20 percent of those matches, but when they do find the net they tend to contribute to open fixtures.
The head to head record across the last 10 meetings shows Eibar with 5 wins to Las Palmas's 3, plus 2 draws. Those encounters have averaged 2.5 goals, with both teams scoring in 6 of 10 and over 2.5 goals landing in 5 of 10. The most recent clash on 29 March 2026 saw Eibar win 3-1 at home, while Las Palmas took the October 2025 fixture 3-1. Before that, Las Palmas edged a 0-1 result at Eibar in May 2023, and the sides drew 1-1 in November 2022 and 2-2 in April 2022. That pattern points to competitive meetings that tend to produce goals and swing both ways, with home advantage playing a role but no guarantee of control. Both sides have scored in more than half of those games, and the 2.5 average suggests another open contest is the likeliest outcome when current form and historical precedent align.
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