

Our model scores this match once both teams have enough recent form to work from, predictions publish in the days before kickoff. Form, head-to-head and season stats are available in the tabs above now.
The form score weights every result and every goal by where the opponent sat in the table, so five wins over the bottom of the table score below five over the top.




Eibar take a form score of 3.3 out of 10 into this Segunda Division fixture, against 6.0 for Tenerife. Eibar have 1 win, 2 draws and 2 defeats in their last 5, while Tenerife have 3 wins and 2 defeats in theirs. Across the season Eibar average 1.5 goals scored and 1.2 conceded per game, Tenerife 2.1 and 0.8. Eibar have kept a clean sheet in 40% of their matches this season, Tenerife in 50%. In their last 9 meetings Eibar have won 7, drawn 1 and lost 1. Eibar sit 7th on 0 points, Tenerife 5th on 0.
Form, head-to-head and season statistics are free to read. The model's predictions for this fixture are in the cards above.
Eibar welcome Tenerife to Segunda División action carrying a poor weighted form score of 3.33 out of 10 against opponents rated at 6 out of 10, a gap of 2.67 that tilts this fixture toward the visitors before a ball is kicked. The hosts have managed just 1 win from their last 5 outings across all competitions, drawing twice and losing twice, while Tenerife arrive with 3 victories in the same sample despite also suffering 2 defeats. That contrast sharpens when the pre-season element is stripped away: Eibar's competitive run ended with a 1-2 loss at Castellón following a 2-0 home win over Cordoba and another 1-2 reverse at Cultural Leonesa, a sequence that left them needing their friendlies against Athletic Club and Alaves to add any semblance of solidity.
Tenerife's recent goals profile offers a starker picture still. They have scored 14 times across their last 5 matches and conceded only 4, recording clean sheets in 3 of those fixtures and finding the net in all 5. The 6-0 demolition of Marino in late July underlined their attacking threat even in a friendly setting, while competitive outings produced a 3-0 home win over Pontevedra and a narrow 1-2 loss at Ourense CF that still saw them score. Eibar, by comparison, have managed 7 goals and conceded 7 across the same span, keeping just 1 clean sheet but scoring in all 5 encounters. The defensive solidity sits firmly with the visitors, who have conceded fewer than half the goals Eibar have let in during an equivalent stretch.
The head to head record over the last 9 meetings leans heavily toward Eibar with 7 wins against Tenerife's solitary victory and 1 draw. Those 9 fixtures have averaged 2.11 goals per game, with both teams scoring in 4 of them and over 2.5 goals landing in 4 of 9. The most recent encounter on 27 April 2025 finished 1-1, while the previous four itemised results show Eibar winning 1-0 on 14 September 2024, Tenerife taking a 2-1 victory on 7 April 2024, Eibar prevailing 3-0 on 30 September 2023, and Eibar edging it 1-0 on 4 March 2023. That historical weight, however, collides with the current form differential, and recent results suggest Tenerife arrive in a far healthier state than the side they dominated for much of the past two years.
The goals data and form bands point toward a Tenerife side capable of troubling a home defence that has shown vulnerability in competitive fixtures, conceding in 4 of their last 5 across all competitions. Eibar's ability to score in every recent outing offers a counter-narrative, but the 2.67 form gap and Tenerife's 3 clean sheets in 5 paint a picture of a visiting side equipped to frustrate and finish. The match odds section will reveal where the market prices this contrast, but the underlying numbers suggest Eibar's historical edge may not hold the same authority when set against their current run and Tenerife's sharper preparation.
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