

Our model scores this match once both teams have enough recent form to work from, predictions publish in the days before kickoff. Form, head-to-head and season stats are available in the tabs above now.
The form score weights every result and every goal by where the opponent sat in the table, so five wins over the bottom of the table score below five over the top.




Eldense take a form score of 4.0 out of 10 into this Segunda Division fixture, against 4.0 for Cádiz CF. Eldense have 1 win and 4 defeats in their last 5, while Cádiz CF have 1 draw and 4 defeats in theirs. Across the season Eldense average 1.5 goals scored and 1.8 conceded per game, Cádiz CF 1.6 and 1.5. Eldense have kept a clean sheet in 0% of their matches this season, Cádiz CF in 20%. In their last 3 meetings Eldense have won 2, drawn 0 and lost 1. Eldense sit 21st on 0 points, Cádiz CF 8th on 0.
Form, head-to-head and season statistics are free to read. The model's predictions for this fixture are in the cards above.
Eldense welcome Cádiz CF to Segunda División action with a notable advantage in recent form, Formatic's weighted scoring placing the hosts at 4 out of 10 against visitors rated at just 1.33 out of 10. That gap of 2.67 points reflects starkly different preparation periods, though both sides have leaned heavily on friendly fixtures in their last five outings.
Eldense's pre-season has delivered 2 wins from 5 matches, collecting 6 goals but shipping 10 in return. They beat Al-Ettifaq 3-1 at home in their most recent outing on 25 July, having previously lost 0-3 away to Valencia and 1-2 at home to Millwall in warm-up games. Their two competitive results from the tail end of the previous campaign in Primera División RFEF, Group 2 brought a 2-1 home win over Atlético Madrid II and a 0-3 away defeat at Real Murcia. The hosts have scored in 3 of those 5 matches but failed to keep a clean sheet in any, conceding in every fixture. That defensive vulnerability offers an obvious route in for any visitor capable of capitalising, yet Cádiz arrive with form so poor it undermines that opening.
Cádiz have won just 1 of their last 5, managing 9 goals but absorbing 4 defeats in the process. Their sole victory came in a 7-0 thrashing of Barbate away on 15 July, a friendly against modest opposition that flatters the aggregate return. Since then they have lost three consecutive friendlies without scoring: 1-2 at home to Orlando Pirates, 0-1 at home to Leicester and 0-1 at home to Cordoba. Their one competitive outing in that sample was a 1-4 away defeat at Racing Santander on 31 May. Cádiz scored in only 3 of the 5 matches and registered a solitary clean sheet, that shutout coming in the rout of Barbate. The visitors have conceded 8 goals across the set, a return identical to their scoring tally and a profile that suggests neither end of the pitch is secure.
The head to head record across the last 3 meetings tilts 2-1 in Eldense's favour, though Cádiz won the most recent encounter 4-1 away on 18 January 2025. Before that Eldense took back-to-back fixtures 1-0 away on 4 December 2024 and 2-1 away on 28 September 2024. The series has averaged 3.0 goals per game, with both teams scoring in 2 of the 3 and over 2.5 goals landing in 2 of 3. That pattern of open matches aligns with Eldense's current inability to shut out opponents and Cádiz's fragile defensive shape, pointing toward goals at both ends if the visitors can rediscover any attacking rhythm.
Eldense's superior form score and home setting give them a clear edge on paper, but their clean sheet drought and Cádiz's historical ability to score against them keep the result from being a formality. The value proposition hinges on whether Cádiz's three consecutive blanks in friendly defeats represent genuine offensive collapse or merely pre-season rust against unfamiliar opposition. Eldense's 6 goals from 5 and three separate scoring performances suggest they can exploit the visitors' porous defence, while their own 10 conceded keeps the door ajar for a Cádiz response if form can flip quickly once competitive football resumes.
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