Excelsior take a perfect pre-season record into Saturday's Eredivisie opener against a PSV side that has conceded in all five of their summer fixtures. The hosts have won five consecutive matches since the campaign ended in May, scoring 16 goals and conceding 8 across that spell, and they arrive with their form score at 10 out of 10. PSV by contrast carry a steady rating of 5.78 out of 10, a 4.22 gap in Excelsior's favour that sets an unusual tone for a meeting between these two.

That form difference becomes sharper when set against the historic pattern. PSV have won all 10 of the last encounters between the sides, a sequence that includes a 5-1 victory in January 2026 and a 5-4 thriller exactly a year earlier. Across those 10 fixtures the average has been 4.7 goals per meeting, with over 2.5 goals landing in 8 of 10 and both teams scoring in exactly half. The dominance has been total, yet PSV's summer has been anything but watertight. They conceded 3 at home to Villarreal in a 1-3 defeat on 25 July, shipped 3 in a 7-3 win over Union St. Gilloise a week earlier, leaked 2 against Raków Częstochowa in a 3-2 victory and drew 1-1 with Antwerp after failing to keep them out. Their most recent competitive outing, a 5-1 win at home to Twente in May, saw them concede once more. Across those five matches PSV scored 17 but conceded 10, and clean sheets remain absent.

Excelsior's summer has been built on winning, even if all five results have been friendlies bar the final-day 3-2 win away to Sparta Rotterdam in May. They scored 5 away to Heracles on 24 July, won 3-1 at NAC Breda, took 2-0 from a trip to Dordrecht and edged Cambuur 3-2 at home on 4 July. They have scored in all 5 matches and managed one clean sheet in that run, the 2-0 against Dordrecht. The attacking output has been consistent, the defensive record less so, but the momentum is real even if the opposition has been calibrated for preparation rather than competition.

The goals profile suggests another high-scoring meeting. The head to head data shows 4.7 per game on average, PSV have conceded in every one of their last 5, and Excelsior have found the net in all of theirs while shipping 8. Both teams scored in 5 of the last 10 encounters, and over 2.5 goals hit in 8 of those 10. PSV's historic dominance remains intact, but their defensive fragility this summer and Excelsior's unblemished run create a collision between past certainty and present trajectory. The numbers point toward goals at both ends, and the form gap narrows a fixture that the head to head record would otherwise frame as one-sided. Whether Excelsior's perfect pre-season translates into competitive points against a side that has beaten them ten times running will depend on whether PSV's leaky summer was conditioning or a genuine vulnerability carried into the season proper.