Girona welcome Albacete to Segunda División on Sunday with the away side holding a form advantage of 2.66 points on Formatic's weighted recent scale. Albacete's steady rating of 6.22 out of 10 contrasts sharply with Girona's patchy 3.56, a gap built on contrasting trajectories through the summer months and into the new campaign.

Girona's last five outings have yielded 1 win, 2 draws and 2 losses, scoring 5 and conceding 5. They have found the net in 3 of those 5 but kept no clean sheets, underlining defensive vulnerability that has persisted across both competitive fixtures and pre-season friendlies. Their sole victory came 3-1 away to Olot in a July friendly, but more telling were the competitive La Liga results that closed their previous season: a 0-1 reverse at Atletico Madrid and home draws of 1-1 against both Real Sociedad and Elche. A further 0-1 home loss to Alaves in late July, albeit in a friendly, suggests the hosts remain a side searching for rhythm and solidity at the back. With 5 conceded across that sample and zero clean sheets, Girona present an obvious invitation to opponents who arrive with any attacking intent.

Albacete have collected 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat from their last 5, scoring 7 and conceding 4. They kept 1 clean sheet and found the net in 3 of the 5. Competitive Segunda División fixtures have been productive: a 2-1 win away to Cordoba, a 3-1 home victory over Real Sociedad II, and only a 0-1 loss at AD Ceuta FC as a blemish. Pre-season friendlies added a 2-1 home win against Al Kholood and a 0-0 draw at Leganes. The sample is modest, but the underlying numbers offer additional encouragement. Across an 8-match snapshot covering all competitions, Albacete have averaged 13.8 shots and 4.9 shots on target per outing, generating 4.9 corners per game despite holding only 36.5 percent possession. They have managed a clean sheet in 20 percent of games and failed to score in 30 percent, a profile that points to a side willing to cede territory while retaining edge in transition and at set pieces. With 11.1 fouls and 1.4 yellow cards per match, they play a physical game but within disciplined limits.

The recent head to head ledger across 4 meetings shows Girona with 2 wins to Albacete's 1, plus 1 draw. The aggregate stands at 2.0 goals per meeting, with both teams scoring in 2 of 4 and over 2.5 goals landing in just 1 of 4. The most recent encounter saw Girona win 2-1 at home in March 2021, while they also claimed a 0-2 away victory in December 2020. The series has been tight, low-scoring and decided by single-goal margins in three of the four fixtures, suggesting a template of marginal contests where defensive lapses prove costly.

Girona's inability to keep a clean sheet in any of their last 5, combined with Albacete's record of scoring in 3 of 5 and averaging nearly 5 shots on target per game, places the spotlight squarely on the hosts' backline. Albacete travel with superior form, a defined attacking profile and the statistical tools to exploit defensive fragility. The head to head history favours Girona on paper, but those meetings predate the current form split by several seasons. With Girona's recent competitive results all ending 1-1 or 0-1, and Albacete's away victories in Segunda División this calendar year coming by 2-1 scorelines, the data points toward a narrow contest in which the visitors hold both the momentum and the structural edge to take something from this fixture.