

Our model scores this match once both teams have enough recent form to work from, predictions publish in the days before kickoff. Form, head-to-head and season stats are available in the tabs above now.
The form score weights every result and every goal by where the opponent sat in the table, so five wins over the bottom of the table score below five over the top.




Girona take a form score of 3.9 out of 10 into this Segunda Division fixture, against 3.6 for Leganés. Girona have 1 win, 2 draws and 2 defeats in their last 5, while Leganés have 1 win, 2 draws and 2 defeats in theirs. Across the season Girona average 1.2 goals scored and 1.5 conceded per game, Leganés 0.7 and 1.3. Girona have kept a clean sheet in 0% of their matches this season, Leganés in 50%. In their last 10 meetings Girona have won 5, drawn 4 and lost 1. Girona sit 13th on 0 points, Leganés 16th on 0.
Form, head-to-head and season statistics are free to read. The model's predictions for this fixture are in the cards above.
Girona return to Segunda División action in distinctly patchy form, their weighted recent score of 3.56 out of 10 underlining a pre-season that has failed to build momentum. Across their last 5 outings they have managed just 1 win alongside 2 draws and 2 defeats, finding the net 5 times but conceding 5 and keeping 0 clean sheets. That defensive frailty has been consistent, with every one of those fixtures seeing goals leaked. The most recent outing saw them fall 1-0 at home to Alaves in a club friendly, while competitive form closed with consecutive 1-1 draws against Elche and Real Sociedad and a 1-0 reverse at Atletico Madrid in La Liga. The single bright spot came in a 3-1 victory away to Olot, but that friendly result does little to mask a side that has not kept opponents at bay in any competitive or pre-season test across the period sampled.
Leganés arrive with a steadier profile, their 5.56 out of 10 form rating reflecting a 2-point advantage over their hosts and a markedly tighter defensive structure. The visitors have recorded 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeat in their last 5, scoring 4 and conceding just 2. More tellingly, they have managed 4 clean sheets from those 5 matches, a record that speaks to an organised unit capable of shutting down opponents. Their pre-season schedule included a 2-0 win away to Penafiel and goalless stalemates against Nacional and Albacete, with the only reverse a 1-2 loss away to Levante. Their final competitive outing before the summer break was a 1-0 home win over Mirandes in Segunda División, a result that extended their habit of low-scoring, disciplined performances. Across the 5 fixtures they have scored in 3, but the ability to grind out results without conceding has been the defining trait.
The head to head record over the last 10 meetings favours Girona with 5 wins to Leganés' 1, though 4 draws suggest a contest that often finds stalemate. The sample has averaged 2.2 goals per meeting, with both teams scoring in 3 of 10 and over 2.5 goals landing in 3 of 10. The five most recent itemised encounters include a 1-1 draw on 24 April 2025 when Leganés hosted, a thrilling 4-3 Girona win on 2 November 2024, and another 1-1 stalemate on 27 February 2022. Girona's 3-0 home victory on 6 December 2021 stands as the widest margin in the recent sample, while Leganés' solitary win came 0-2 away on 7 February 2021. The pattern across those fixtures points to narrow contests more often than not, with only two of the five producing three goals or more.
The contrast in defensive solidity looms large here. Girona have shipped goals in every recent fixture and carry a clean sheet return of zero from 5, while Leganés have conceded in only 1 of their last 5 and kept the back door shut in 4. That 2-point form gap in favour of the visitors is rooted in their ability to stay compact and frustrate, a quality Girona have conspicuously lacked. The head to head sample shows a Girona side historically capable of edging this fixture, but recent evidence suggests they will need to rediscover defensive discipline if that record is to be extended. With Leganés averaging under a goal conceded per match in their recent run and Girona yet to register a clean sheet, the visitors carry the sharper profile into a Segunda División opener that the numbers frame as tight and potentially low on goals.
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