Granada welcome Mallorca to the Segunda División having won 7 of the last 10 meetings between the sides, a head to head record that sits uncomfortably alongside the hosts' own relegation from La Liga and the visitors' survival in the top flight. The historical pattern is emphatic, with Granada claiming victories by scorelines of 4-1, 6-2 and 3-2 among those five itemised encounters, but both clubs arrive in unfamiliar circumstances: one demoted, one reprieved, and both working through pre-season programmes that reveal little about competitive sharpness.

Granada's last competitive outing was a 3-1 defeat away to Mirandes on 24 May, followed six days later by a 2-1 home loss to Sporting Gijon, results that closed a campaign of relegation. Since then they have assembled three friendly wins and a draw, scoring 6 and conceding 6 across those 5 matches, with clean sheets in 2 of 5 and goals in all five outings. The weighted form score of 6.67 out of 10 labels that run as strong, though the sample is dominated by friendlies against Juventud Torremolinos, NEOM and Real Betis, and the competitive fixtures at the tail end show a side that shipped goals and collected no points. The transition from La Liga to the second tier brings both a change in quality of opponent and a need to rebuild immediately if promotion is the target.

Their last five fixtures include a 3-0 home win over Oviedo on 23 May, a 1-1 draw with Villarreal, and defeats of 3-1 at Getafe and 2-0 at Levante, yielding 8 scored and 6 conceded across 5 matches with clean sheets in 2 of 5 and goals in 4 of 5. The weighted form score of 6.22 out of 10 sits just below Granada's, a gap of 0.45 that reflects a marginal edge in recent momentum rather than any structural advantage. The most recent outing was a 3-0 friendly win over Al-Fateh, continuing a pattern of attacking returns but offering no competitive anchor point since late May.

The head to head profile shows 3.2 goals per meeting and both teams scoring in 7 of 10, with over 2.5 goals landing in 6 of 10. The five itemised encounters include a 6-2 Granada win at Mallorca on 7 May 2022 and a 4-1 home victory on 19 December 2021, results that illustrate Granada's capacity to win this fixture heavily when conditions align. Mallorca's lone itemised win came 1-0 on 16 March 2024, a rare breach in a sequence otherwise dominated by the hosts. Both sides have scored 6 in their last five and conceded 6, identical goals profiles that suggest parity in recent output despite the historical imbalance.

The form gap is narrow, the pre-season sample is short, and the competitive fixtures date back three months, leaving the head to head record as the most reliable indicator. Granada's 7 wins from 10 and their history of high-scoring victories point toward a home result, but the league change and the stale nature of both teams' competitive form make this a fixture where the numbers describe a past pattern more clearly than they predict a present outcome. Value will hinge on whether the market respects Granada's dominance or discounts it against Mallorca's top-flight pedigree, and whether 3.2 goals per meeting remains a guide when both defences have conceded 6 in their last 5.