

Our model scores this match once both teams have enough recent form to work from, predictions publish in the days before kickoff. Form, head-to-head and season stats are available in the tabs above now.
How this scoreline is calculated
Where those opponents sat in the table: strong means they averaged roughly the top 40%, weak roughly the bottom 40%, mixed in between.
Opposition faced: Hamburg strong, Bayern Munich mixedThe form score weights every result and every goal by where the opponent sat in the table, so five wins over the bottom of the table score below five over the top.




Hamburg take a form score of 3.5 out of 10 into this Bundesliga fixture, against 9.4 for Bayern Munich. Hamburg have 2 wins and 3 defeats in their last 5, while Bayern Munich have 4 wins and 1 draw in theirs. Across the season Hamburg average 1.5 goals scored and 2.2 conceded per game, Bayern Munich 3.4 and 0.8. Hamburg have kept a clean sheet in 10% of their matches this season, Bayern Munich in 30%. In their last 10 meetings Hamburg have won 0, drawn 1 and lost 9. Hamburg sit 16th on 3 points, Bayern Munich 2nd on 10.
Form, head-to-head and season statistics are free to read. The model's predictions for this fixture are in the cards above.
Tomorrow's top pick, free, the moment it drops
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