

Our model scores this match once both teams have enough recent form to work from, predictions publish in the days before kickoff. Form, head-to-head and season stats are available in the tabs above now.
The form score weights every result and every goal by where the opponent sat in the table, so five wins over the bottom of the table score below five over the top.




Hellas Verona take a form score of 8.2 out of 10 into this Serie B fixture, against 4.7 for Vicenza Virtus. Hellas Verona have 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat in their last 5, while Vicenza Virtus have 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeat in theirs. Across the season Hellas Verona average 1.4 goals scored and 1.0 conceded per game, Vicenza Virtus 2.3 and 1.5. Hellas Verona have kept a clean sheet in 20% of their matches this season, Vicenza Virtus in 10%. In their last 2 meetings Hellas Verona have won 1, drawn 0 and lost 1. Hellas Verona sit 19th on 0 points, Vicenza Virtus 2nd on 0.
Form, head-to-head and season statistics are free to read. The model's predictions for this fixture are in the cards above.
Hellas Verona open their Serie B campaign against Vicenza Virtus with the sharper preparation and a form gulf of 3.55 points on Formatic's weighted scale, rating the hosts excellent at 8.22 out of 10 while the visitors arrive patchy at 4.67. That gap reflects contrasting summers and recent competitive outcomes, with Verona's three pre-season victories including an 8-1 home win over Rovereto on 19 July and a 2-1 home success against Virtus Verona three days later, while their most recent outing brought a 1-0 home friendly win over Dolomiti Bellunesi on 25 July.
Vicenza Virtus return to Serie B after a Serie C campaign that ended in cup fixtures, their last competitive outing a 1-4 home loss to Benevento in the Supercoppa Lega Finals on 16 May. Before that they won 5-2 at Arezzo on 2 May in the same competition and hammered Triestina 6-1 away on 25 April, then drew 0-0 at home to Pergolettese on 19 April in Girone A. Their pre-season consisted of a single club friendly, a 2-2 draw at Genoa on 25 July, and across all five matches they won 2, drew 2 and lost 1, scoring 14 and conceding 9. They scored in 4 of 5 and kept one clean sheet, but the weight of those numbers tilts heavily toward the three competitive fixtures in Serie C rather than the summer workout.
The two sides last met almost a decade ago in 2016 and 2017, splitting the pair with one win apiece and no draws. Vicenza won 1-0 at home on 10 December 2016, then Verona turned the result around with a 3-2 home victory on 1 May 2017, producing an average of 3.0 goals per meeting. Both teams scored in 1 of 2 and over 2.5 goals landed in 1 of 2, though the small sample makes pattern-reading difficult and neither fixture came in the same division these sides now share.
Verona's offensive output in pre-season is emphatic at 12 goals across five outings, though the 8-1 friendly flatters the aggregate and the two Serie A fixtures last term brought just one goal in 180 minutes. Vicenza's 14 goals across their five-match window includes three matches with five or more, all competitive, but their defensive line shipped 9 in the same span and the 1-4 home cup loss to Benevento was the most recent competitive outing. The head to head scorelines from 2016 and 2017 both went the way of the home side, a pattern Verona will hope persists, and the current form differential of 3.55 points suggests the hosts carry the stronger momentum into the league opener. Verona scored in 4 of 5 and conceded in 4 of 5, while Vicenza scored in 4 of 5 and conceded in 4 of 5, giving both sides attacking outlet but little defensive security. The goals profile across the ten most recent matches, five per side, totals 26, and if the 8-1 and 6-1 outliers are acknowledged as anomalies the underlying rate still points to both nets being tested.
The form bands and recent results frame this as a fixture where Verona's preparation and division experience should count, even with their last competitive action coming a tier higher. Vicenza's cup form was volatile and their single pre-season friendly offers scant evidence of readiness, while Verona pieced together three friendly wins including two at home.
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