

Our model scores this match once both teams have enough recent form to work from, predictions publish in the days before kickoff. Form, head-to-head and season stats are available in the tabs above now.
The form score weights every result and every goal by where the opponent sat in the table, so five wins over the bottom of the table score below five over the top.




Las Palmas take a form score of 4.5 out of 10 into this Segunda Division fixture, against 6.4 for Albacete. Las Palmas have 1 win, 1 draw and 3 defeats in their last 5, while Albacete have 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat in theirs. Across the season Las Palmas average 1.3 goals scored and 1.6 conceded per game, Albacete 1.5 and 1.1. Las Palmas have kept a clean sheet in 0% of their matches this season, Albacete in 20%. In their last 10 meetings Las Palmas have won 4, drawn 3 and lost 3. Las Palmas sit 3rd on 0 points, Albacete 6th on 0.
Form, head-to-head and season statistics are free to read. The model's predictions for this fixture are in the cards above.
Las Palmas begin their Segunda División campaign against visitors who arrive in sharply contrasting form. The home side's weighted score of 1.33 out of 10 ranks as very poor, while Albacete's 6.22 marks them as steady, creating a form gap of 4.89 in the visitors' favour. That chasm reflects recent results: Las Palmas have managed just 1 win from their last 5 matches across all competitions, scoring 4 and conceding 6, while Albacete have taken 3 wins from 5, scoring 7 and conceding 4.
Las Palmas closed their competitive fixtures with a 1-1 draw at Malaga in June, but that came on the back of a 1-0 home defeat to the same opponents and preceded a pre-season that brought losses to Al-Ittihad FC (1-2 at home) and Orlando Pirates (0-1 away). They have failed to keep a clean sheet in any of their last 5 outings and have scored in only 3 of those matches. The lone bright spot remains a 2-1 win away to Deportivo La Coruna in late May, but that result now sits buried under a month of sterile performances.
Albacete's profile is considerably sharper. They won their final competitive match before the break, a 3-1 home victory over Real Sociedad II in May, and added a 2-1 away win at Cordoba earlier that month. Pre-season brought a 2-1 home win against Al Kholood and a goalless draw away to Leganes, either side of a 0-1 loss at AD Ceuta FC. They have registered 1 clean sheet in their last 5 and have scored in 3 of those fixtures, maintaining a goals output that has edged them clear of their hosts in recent form.
The head to head record across the last 10 meetings shows Las Palmas with 4 wins to Albacete's 3, alongside 3 draws, but recent encounters have been tight and high-scoring. The sides have averaged 3.2 goals per meeting, with both teams finding the net in 9 of those 10 fixtures and over 2.5 goals landing in 7. The five itemised meetings include Albacete's 2-1 home win in March 2026, Las Palmas' 2-1 home victory in November 2025, and three earlier clashes that followed a similar pattern of narrow margins and regular goals at both ends. Las Palmas' 3-2 home win in May 2021 typifies the series: competitive, open and rarely settled by more than a single goal.
The form gap and the goals history point toward an Albacete side capable of exploiting a home defence that has shipped at least one goal in every match of its last five. Las Palmas have scored in 3 of 5, so the both teams to score trend that has appeared in 9 of the last 10 head to heads remains live, but the visitors' steadier platform and the hosts' failure to keep any opponent out recently tilts the outcome probability. The numbers suggest a match decided by which side can convert their recent shape into three points, with Albacete holding the sharper edge on current evidence.
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