AS Roma arrive with a form score of 7.78 out of 10 and a head to head record that shows 8 wins from the last 10 meetings between these sides. Lecce have not beaten them in that span, managing 2 draws against 8 defeats, and the visitors have kept clean sheets in 3 of their last 4 competitive fixtures. The form gap of 2.67 in Roma's favour reflects the difference between a side that won 4 of its last 5 and one whose recent run includes 3 wins but was built largely around pre-season friendlies.

Roma closed their competitive campaign with four straight victories, scoring 11 goals across those matches and conceding just 2. They beat Hellas Verona 2-0 away, Lazio 2-0 at home, Parma 3-2 on the road and Fiorentina 4-0 in front of their own supporters. That sequence delivered clean sheets in 3 of 5 overall and goals in all 5, a pattern of consistent threat underpinned by defensive solidity in the fixtures that mattered. Their only blemish in the sample was a 3-3 draw at Cannes in a club friendly, a result that carries less weight than the four competitive wins that preceded it.

Lecce posted a form score of 5.11 out of 10, grading as steady rather than sharp. Their last two competitive results were a 1-0 home win against Genoa and a 3-2 away victory at Sassuolo, both in Serie A, but the three most recent outings have been friendlies. They drew 2-2 at home to Istra 1961, lost 1-0 at home to FC Politehnica Timisoara and won 1-0 away to Szombathelyi Haladas. Across the five fixtures they managed 7 goals scored and 5 conceded, with clean sheets in 2 of 5 and goals in 4 of 5. The mix of competitive sharpness and pre-season rhythm leaves them facing a side that has won every recent head to head encounter bar two draws.

The head to head profile shows 0 Lecce wins against 8 Roma victories and 2 draws, with 2.5 goals per meeting and both teams scoring in 5 of 10. The five itemised fixtures include a 1-0 Roma win in March 2026, a 2-0 Roma victory in January 2026, another 1-0 in March 2025, a 4-1 thrashing in December 2024 and a 0-0 draw in April 2024. Over 2.5 goals landed in 5 of the 10 meetings, a rate that sits in line with the 2.5 average but suggests variance around that midpoint. Roma kept Lecce scoreless in 5 of the 10, a clean sheet rate that aligns with their recent defensive form and underlines the challenge facing a home attack that has managed 7 goals across five matches of mixed competitive weight.

Roma have scored in all 5 of their last fixtures and conceded in just 2 of their last 4 competitive outings, a goals profile that complements a head to head record showing 8 wins from 10 and an average of 2.5 goals per meeting. Lecce's steadier form score and winless run in this fixture point toward another Roma victory, with the question centred on whether the home side can find the net against a defence that has kept 3 clean sheets in 5. The 2.5 goals per meeting average and the fact that both teams scored in half the head to head sample suggest goals at both ends remain possible, but Roma's dominance in every statistical band makes them the clear favourites to extend their winning record in this matchup.