Our model scores this match once both teams have enough recent form to work from, predictions publish in the days before kickoff. Form, head-to-head and season stats are available in the tabs above now.
How this scoreline is calculated
Lens
Form comparisonMarseille
Where those opponents sat in the table: strong means they averaged roughly the top 40%, weak roughly the bottom 40%, mixed in between.
Opposition faced: Lens strong, Marseille strongThe form score weights every result and every goal by where the opponent sat in the table, so five wins over the bottom of the table score below five over the top.
- 24 Jan 2026Marseille3-1Lens
- 25 Oct 2025Lens2-1Marseille
- 08 Mar 2025Marseille0-1Lens
- 23 Nov 2024Lens1-3Marseille
- 28 Apr 2024Marseille2-1Lens
- 18 Sept 2026vsMonaco2-1L
- 13 Sept 2026vsLe Mans2-2D
- 10 Sept 2026vsSlavia Praha2-3W
- 05 Sept 2026vsLorient0-1L
- 29 Aug 2026vsStrasbourg2-1L
- 20 Sept 2026vsParis Saint Germain1-2L
- 17 Sept 2026vsBeşiktaş4-1L
- 11 Sept 2026vsRennes1-0L
- 06 Sept 2026vsParis FC2-3L
- 30 Aug 2026vsMonaco2-0L
Lens vs Marseille: form and season numbers
Lens take a form score of 5.3 out of 10 into this Ligue 1 fixture, against 3.4 for Marseille. Lens have 1 win, 1 draw and 3 defeats in their last 5, while Marseille have 5 defeats in theirs. Across the season Lens average 1.6 goals scored and 1.4 conceded per game, Marseille 1.4 and 1.9. Lens have kept a clean sheet in 20% of their matches this season, Marseille in 10%. In their last 10 meetings Lens have won 6, drawn 0 and lost 4. Lens sit 15th on 4 points, Marseille 17th on 3.
Form, head-to-head and season statistics are free to read. The model's predictions for this fixture are in the cards above.
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