

Our model scores this match once both teams have enough recent form to work from, predictions publish in the days before kickoff. Form, head-to-head and season stats are available in the tabs above now.
How this scoreline is calculated
Where those opponents sat in the table: strong means they averaged roughly the top 40%, weak roughly the bottom 40%, mixed in between.
Opposition faced: Mainz weak, Bayer Leverkusen mixedThe form score weights every result and every goal by where the opponent sat in the table, so five wins over the bottom of the table score below five over the top.




Mainz take a form score of 8.0 out of 10 into this Bundesliga fixture, against 8.0 for Bayer Leverkusen. Mainz have 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat in their last 5, while Bayer Leverkusen have 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat in theirs. Across the season Mainz average 3.2 goals scored and 1.0 conceded per game, Bayer Leverkusen 2.3 and 1.0. Mainz have kept a clean sheet in 60% of their matches this season, Bayer Leverkusen in 44%. In their last 10 meetings Mainz have won 2, drawn 2 and lost 6. Mainz sit 6th on 7 points, Bayer Leverkusen 5th on 7.
Form, head-to-head and season statistics are free to read. The model's predictions for this fixture are in the cards above.
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