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    Scottish Premiership · kickoff 15:00
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    Motherwell
    Motherwell
    7th in the table
    WLLWW
    vs
    Aberdeen
    Aberdeen
    12th in the table
    WWWWW
    Predictions coming soon

    Our model scores this match once both teams have enough recent form to work from, predictions publish in the days before kickoff. Form, head-to-head and season stats are available in the tabs above now.

    Motherwell

    Form comparison

    Aberdeen

    5.2
    Form scoreout of 10
    6.9
    Form score: Motherwell 5.2, Aberdeen 6.9
    1.60
    Goals scoredper game, last 10
    1.90
    Goals scored: Motherwell 1.60, Aberdeen 1.90
    1.80
    Goals concededper game, last 10, lower is better
    1.40
    Goals conceded: Motherwell 1.80, Aberdeen 1.40
    strong
    Opposition facedlast 10
    weak

    Where those opponents sat in the table: strong means they averaged roughly the top 40%, weak roughly the bottom 40%, mixed in between.

    Opposition faced: Motherwell strong, Aberdeen weak

    The form score weights every result and every goal by where the opponent sat in the table, so five wins over the bottom of the table score below five over the top.

    3/5Motherwell
    Clean Sheetslast 5 games
    Aberdeen3/5
    1/5Motherwell
    Failed to Scorelast 5 games
    Aberdeen0/5
    1.6Motherwell
    Goals For per game
    Aberdeen1.9
    1.8Motherwell
    Goals Against per game
    Aberdeen1.4
    2Motherwell
    Win Streakmatches
    Aberdeen5
    Season averages • Motherwell: 10 matches • Aberdeen: 10 matches • Refreshed weekly
    Motherwell
    Motherwell
    Solid5.2/10
    WLLWW
    Over 2.5 goals
    3/5
    BTTS
    1/5
    Clean sheet
    3/5
    Scored in
    4/5
    Aberdeen
    Aberdeen
    Solid6.9/10
    WWWWW
    Over 2.5 goals
    3/5
    BTTS
    2/5
    Clean sheet
    3/5
    Scored in
    5/5
    Last 5 meetings
    4W - 1D - 5L from Motherwell's perspective
    • 18 Feb 2026Aberdeen2-0Motherwell
    • 15 Feb 2026Motherwell2-0Aberdeen
    • 09 Nov 2025Aberdeen1-1Motherwell
    • 27 Sept 2025Motherwell2-0Aberdeen
    • 20 Sept 2025Aberdeen0-1Motherwell
    Motherwell
    Motherwell
    Last 5 matches
    • 30 Jul 2026vsHB Torshavn0-3W
    • 23 Jul 2026vsHB Torshavn2-0W
    • 17 Jul 2026vsGenk3-4L
    • 05 Jul 2026vsAarhus4-0L
    • 16 May 2026vsHibernian0-1W
    Aberdeen
    Aberdeen
    Last 5 matches
    • 25 Jul 2026vsKelty Hearts3-0W
    • 22 Jul 2026vsQueen of the South1-4W
    • 18 Jul 2026vsQueen's Park2-1W
    • 14 Jul 2026vsBrora Rangers0-2W
    • 11 Jul 2026vsLinfield0-2W
    PosTeamPts
    5Hibernian0
    6Kilmarnock0
    7Motherwell0
    8St Mirren0
    9Dundee0
    10St Johnstone0
    11Celtic0
    12Aberdeen0
    Updated daily

    Motherwell vs Aberdeen: form and season numbers

    Motherwell take a form score of 5.2 out of 10 into this Scottish Premiership fixture, against 6.9 for Aberdeen. Motherwell have 3 wins and 2 defeats in their last 5, while Aberdeen have 5 wins in theirs. Across the season Motherwell average 1.6 goals scored and 1.8 conceded per game, Aberdeen 1.9 and 1.4. Motherwell have kept a clean sheet in 30% of their matches this season, Aberdeen in 40%. In their last 10 meetings Motherwell have won 4, drawn 1 and lost 5. Motherwell sit 7th on 0 points, Aberdeen 12th on 0.

    Form, head-to-head and season statistics are free to read. The model's predictions for this fixture are in the cards above.

    Preview

    Motherwell vs Aberdeen prediction: form gap at 5.33

    Aberdeen arrive at this Premiership encounter carrying a perfect five-match winning streak, having scored 13 goals and conceded only 2 across that run. Their recent form score of 10 out of 10 stands in sharp contrast to Motherwell's patchy 4.67, creating a form gap of 5.33 that shapes the entire complexion of Saturday's fixture. The visitors have registered clean sheets in 3 of their last 5 outings and found the net in every single one, a profile that suggests both defensive solidity and consistent attacking threat.

    Motherwell's recent results tell a more complicated story. They have won 2 and lost 3 across their last 5 matches, though both victories came without conceding: a 2-0 success against HB Torshavn in the Europa Conference League on 23 July and a 1-0 result at Hibernian on 16 May. Between those, however, sit three defeats, including a 3-4 reverse against Genk and a 0-4 loss at Aarhus in pre-season friendlies, plus a competitive 2-3 setback at home to Celtic. The hosts have scored 8 goals across the sample but conceded 11, and while they have found the net in 4 of those 5 fixtures, the leakage at the back presents a clear vulnerability against an opponent in Aberdeen's current rhythm.

    The head to head record across the last 10 meetings is surprisingly tight: Aberdeen hold 5 wins to Motherwell's 4, with 1 draw. Notably, Motherwell won three consecutive encounters between September and February, including a 2-0 victory on 15 February that reversed a 2-0 defeat inflicted by Aberdeen just three days earlier. The sequence ended on 18 February when Aberdeen recorded another 2-0 win. Across those 10 fixtures, the average stands at 2.1 goals per meeting, both teams scored in only 3 of 10, and the over 2.5 goals line cleared in just 2 of 10. That historical profile points toward matches that are often settled by narrow margins and defensive organisation rather than end-to-end chaos.

    Aberdeen's recent competitive outings have all come in the League Cup, where they have dismantled lower-league opposition with ruthless efficiency: 3-0 against Kelty Hearts, 4-1 at Queen of the South, 2-1 over Queen's Park and 2-0 at Brora Rangers. Motherwell's solitary Premiership-standard result in their last five was that 1-0 win at Hibernian on 16 May, over three months ago. The gap in competitive readiness is therefore narrower than raw form suggests, but Aberdeen's clean sheet in 3 of 5 and their habit of scoring in every match this summer make them difficult to oppose on the numbers. The key variable is whether Motherwell's two clean sheets from five can translate into containment against an attack that has averaged more than 2.5 goals per outing since mid-July.

    The historical pattern of low-scoring, tight encounters runs directly counter to Aberdeen's recent goal output, and that tension will define the shape of this fixture. Motherwell have conceded 11 in 5 and Aberdeen have shipped only 2 in the same sample, yet the head to head record suggests this rarely turns into a rout.

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