Espanyol arrive with an unbeaten run across their last 5 fixtures, posting 3 wins and 2 draws while scoring 11 and conceding just 3. That strong recent return, weighted at 6.89 out of 10, stands in sharp contrast to Osasuna's run of 1 win and 4 defeats over the same sample, a sequence that generated just 6 goals and a poor rating of 3.33. The gap of 3.56 between the two sides is among the wider form differentials in this round, and it comes with an added edge: the most recent meeting sits inside both sets of recent results, when Espanyol took all three points with a 2-1 victory at Osasuna on 17 May 2026.

Osasuna's four competitive fixtures before the summer break all ended in defeat: 3-2 at Levante, 2-1 at home to Atletico Madrid, 2-1 at home to Espanyol and 1-0 at Getafe. They managed clean sheets in just 1 of those 5 outings and scored in 4, suggesting goals at one end but little resilience at the other. A 2-0 friendly win over Racing Santander on 24 July offers scant reassurance when set against that run of competitive form, and the underlying numbers point to a side that has struggled to arrest momentum heading into the new campaign.

Espanyol's summer friendlies against Sabadell, PAU and Olot added 8 goals and 1 conceded across three fixtures, extending a scoring run that now spans all 5 of their last matches. Their final competitive outing before the break, a 1-1 draw at home to Real Sociedad, came after back-to-back wins and underlined their ability to grind results even when not at their sharpest. They have kept 2 clean sheets across the 5-match window and conceded only 3 times in total, a defensive profile that contrasts sharply with Osasuna's vulnerability.

The head to head record across the last 10 meetings shows 4 Osasuna wins, 2 for Espanyol and 4 draws, but the pattern has been miserly: an average of 1.4 goals per fixture, both teams scoring in just 3 of 10, and over 2.5 goals landed only once. That said, 3 of the 5 itemised meetings have produced a winner, and Espanyol claimed two of those, including a 2-0 success at home on 31 August 2025. The other results in that sample include Osasuna's 2-0 home win on 18 May 2025 and two goalless or 1-1 stalemates, suggesting that when these sides do separate, it tends to be by a single goal and often with limited scoring.

Espanyol's form rating, their recent goal output and their clean record over the last 5 all point toward a side capable of extending Osasuna's winless competitive run. The hosts have scored in 4 of their last 5, so a shutout is far from guaranteed, but with only 1 clean sheet in that same sample and 8 conceded, they look vulnerable to a visitor who has found the net in every fixture since early May. The head to head trend toward low-scoring affairs adds a layer of caution, but the form gap and the most recent result both favour the away side, and the numbers suggest Espanyol hold the edge in a fixture that rarely explodes into life.