Four consecutive league defeats preceded a solitary friendly victory over Racing Santander, and while that 2-0 win offered a brief respite, the underlying pattern remains bleak. Across those 5 matches the hosts managed 6 goals but conceded 8, keeping just 1 clean sheet. The defensive frailty was laid bare in defeats to Getafe, Espanyol and Atletico Madrid, each loss settled by a single goal, before a chastening 3-2 reverse at Levante on 8 May capped a miserable spring. They have at least found the net in 4 of their last 5, suggesting some attacking threat persists, but the inability to turn performances into points has left them approaching the new campaign in poor shape.

Levante arrive with a form score of 6 out of 10, steady rather than spectacular but clearly superior to their hosts by a margin of 2.67. Their recent record reads 3 wins and 2 defeats from 5 outings, though context matters: two of those victories came in pre-season friendlies against Al-Qadisiyah FC and Leganes, while a third was earned in competitive action with a 2-0 home win over Mallorca on 17 May. The defeats, a 2-1 loss at Real Betis in the league and a 2-1 friendly reverse to Sheffield Utd, carry less sting given the circumstances. More encouragingly, Levante have scored in all 5 matches, netting 7 times while conceding 5, and have posted 2 clean sheets in that span. The defensive solidity shown in shutting out both Al-Qadisiyah FC and Mallorca offers a platform, and the consistency of their goal output, modest as it is, contrasts favourably with Osasuna's volatility.

The head-to-head ledger is perfectly balanced, each side claiming 4 wins from the last 10 encounters with 2 draws filling the gaps. These meetings have averaged 2.3 goals, with both teams on the scoresheet in 4 of 10 and over 2.5 goals landing in just 3 of 10. The most recent clash, that 3-2 Levante triumph in May, was the highest-scoring fixture of the itemised sample and left Osasuna on the wrong end of a thriller. Before that, Osasuna had won 2-0 at home in December 2025, demonstrating their capacity to dominate this opponent on their own patch. Further back, a 3-1 home win in March 2022 and a 1-0 away victory in February 2021 show Osasuna have historically held the edge, though a goalless draw in December 2021 reminds that tight affairs are not uncommon.

The form gap of 2.67 points clearly toward the visitors, who bring momentum and a firmer defensive foundation into a fixture where recent history offers no overwhelming favourite. Osasuna's ability to score in 4 of their last 5 suggests goals may not dry up entirely, but their defensive record and the weight of 4 straight league defeats heading into the break make a home win difficult to justify. Levante's consistency in finding the net across all 5 recent outings and their superior form rating position them as the side more likely to navigate a typically tight contest.